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Related papers: On the predictability of springtime ozone depletio…

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Tropospheric ozone is one of six criteria pollutants regulated by the US EPA, and has been linked to respiratory and cardiovascular endpoints and adverse effects on vegetation and ecosystems. Regional photochemical models have been…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Brian Reich , Daniel Cooley , Kristen Foley , Sergey Napelenok , Benjamin Shaby

Tropospheric ozone is an atmospheric pollutant that negatively impacts human health and the environment. Precise estimation of ozone levels is essential for preventive measures and mitigating its effects. This work compares the accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-13 J. M. Sánchez Cerritos , J. A. Martínez-Cadena , A. Marín-López , J. Delgado-Fernández

We investigate the relationship between spectral solar irradiance (SSI) and ozone in the tropical upper stratosphere. We find that solar cycle (SC) changes in ozone can be well approximated by considering the ozone response to SSI changes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-08-18 William T. Ball , Daniel J. Mortlock , Jack S. Egerton , Joanna D. Haigh

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Using a recently developed formalism, we present an in-depth analysis of how the thermodynamics of the climate system varies with CO2 concentration by performing experiments with a simplified yet Earth-like climate model. We find that, in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-04 V. Lucarini , K. Fraedrich , F. Lunkeit

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

Due to the profound impact of air pollution on human health, livelihoods, and economic development, air quality forecasting is of paramount significance. Initially, we employ the causal graph method to scrutinize the constraints of existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Jiaming Ma , Guanjun Wang , Sheng Huang , Kuo Yang , Binwu Wang , Pengkun Wang , Yang Wang

In light of the rapid recent retreat of Arctic sea ice, the extreme weather events triggering the variability in Arctic ice cover has drawn increasing attention. A non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process is thought to be an appropriate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Fang Yang , Yayun Zheng , Jinqiao Duan , Ling Fu , Stephen Wiggins

Current operational air quality forecasts are computationally expensive, sensitive to errors in physics and emissions, and often neglect weather-related uncertainty. To address these limitations, we present AirFusion, a hybrid,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Ao Ding , Aoxing Zhang , Tzung-May Fu , Yuanlong Huang , Qianjie Chen , Yuyang Chen , Jiajia Mo , Wei Tao , Wai-Chi Cheng , Lei Zhu , Xin Yang , Guy Brasseur

Climate change is a reality of today. Paleoclimatic proxies and climate predictions based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models provide us with temperature data. Using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis, we are investigating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-03-05 Bora Akgun , Zeynep Isvan , Levent Tuter , Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

The Antarctic winter atmosphere minimal temperature and pressure series reveal that $CO_2$ phase shift (deposition) is possible in some extreme cases, even leading to possible $CO_2$ snow phenomenon at Vostok Antarctic station and in other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-12-19 V. M. Vashchenko , Ye. A. Loza

Ensembles of climate models are commonly used to improve climate predictions and assess the uncertainties associated with them. Weighting the models according to their performances holds the promise of further improving their predictions.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-25 Ehud Strobach , Golan Bel

The Late Pleistocene Antarctic temperature variation curve is decomposed into two parts: cyclic and stochastic. These two parts represent different but tightly interconnected processes and also represent two different types of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-05-20 Lev A. Maslov

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

The transition from a once-dense Martian atmosphere to the thin one observed today implies a substantial loss of carbon, either through atmospheric escape or surface deposition. Accurately modeling this carbon escape necessitates accounting…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-01 Cheikh T. Bop , Marko Gacesa

Assessing the consistency between short-term global temperature trends in observations and climate model projections is a challenging problem. While climate models capture many processes governing short-term climate fluctuations, they are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-09-23 Patrick J. Michaels , Paul C. Knappenberger , John R. Christy , Chad S. Herman , Lucia M. Liljegren , James D. Annan

With the press of global climate change, extreme weather and sudden weather changes are becoming increasingly common. To maintain a comfortable indoor environment and minimize the contribution of the building to climate change as much as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Liping Sun , Yucheng Guo , Siliang Lu , Zhenzhen Li

The mechanisms of interaction between the seasonal cycle and ENSO are investigated using the Zebiak and Cane ENSO prediction model. The most dominant seasonal effect is found to be due to the wind divergence field, as determined by the…

ao-sci · Physics 2008-02-03 Eli Tziperman , Steve Zebiak , Mark Cane