English
Related papers

Related papers: On the predictability of springtime ozone depletio…

200 papers

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

Future changes in the location of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) due to climate change are of high interest since they could substantially alter precipitation patterns in the tropics and subtropics. Although models predict a…

Although space weather events may not directly affect human life, they have the potential to inflict significant harm upon our communities. Harmful space weather events can trigger atmospheric changes that result in physical and economic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-07 Shlesh Sakpal

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits significant impacts on the frequency of extreme weather events and its socio-economic implications prevail on a global scale. However, a fundamental gap still exists in understanding the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-21 Long Huo , Xin Chen , Kaiwen Li , Fengying Cai , Jürgen Kurths

Issues regarding air quality and related health concerns have prompted this study, which develops an accurate and computationally fast, efficient hybrid modeling system that combines numerical modeling and machine learning for forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-01 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Ebrahim Eslami , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ahmed Khan Salman

Studying solar wind conditions is central to forecasting impact of space weather on Earth. Under the assumption that the structure of this wind is constant in time and corotates with the Sun, solar wind and thereby space weather forecasts…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-30 Nachiketa Chakraborty , Harriet Turner , Mathew Owens , Matthew Lang

Decline of the dissolved oxygen in the ocean is a growing concern, as it may eventually lead to global anoxia, an elevated mortality of marine fauna and even a mass extinction. Deoxygenation of the ocean often results in the formation of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Pranali Roy Chowdhury , Malay Banerjee , Sergei Petrovskii

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Depending on the region of maximal warming,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-29 J. Ludescher , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

Extrasolar terrestrial planets with the potential to host life might have large obliquities or be subject to strong obliquity variations. We revisit the habitability of oblique planets with an energy balance climate model (EBM) allowing for…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 David S. Spiegel , Kristen Menou , Caleb A. Scharf

The energy-balance model of global climate, which is taking into account a nontrivial role of solar and galactic protons, is presented. The model is described by the equation of fold catastrophe relative to increment of temperature, where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. D. Rusov , A. V. Glushkov , V. N. Vaschenko , V. N. Pavlovich , T. N. Zelentsova , O. T. Mihalus , V. A. Tarasov , D. N. Saranuk

This thesis assesses the influence of astronomical phenomena on the Earth's biosphere and climate. I examine in particular the relevance of both the path of the Sun through the Galaxy and the evolution of the Earth's orbital parameters in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-01 Fabo Feng

Ionospheric conductance is a crucial factor in regulating the closure of magnetospheric field-aligned currents through the ionosphere as Hall and Pedersen currents. Despite its importance in predictive investigations of the magnetosphere -…

The demand-supply balance of electricity systems is fundamentally linked to climate conditions. In light of this, the present study aims to model the effect of climate change on the European electricity system, specifically on its long-term…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-29 Inès Harang , Fabian Heymann , Laurens P. Stoop

The solubility of CO2 in formation brines plays a critical role in the efficiency of carbon capture and storage (CCS) operations. It is strongly influenced by pressure, temperature, and brine composition. Various experimental studies and…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-08-20 Abdeldjalil Latrach , Lily Jackson , Minou Rabiei

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Carbonate-silicate weathering feedback is thought to stabilize Earth's climate on geologic timescales. If climate warms, faster mineral dissolution and increased rainfall speed up weathering, increasing CO2 drawdown and opposing the initial…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-01 Brandon Park Coy , Edwin S. Kite , R. J. Graham

We compute the ozone distribution for a model terrestrial paleoatmosphere in which the present oxygen abundance is largely replaced by carbon dioxide, which we argue is a reasonable working assumption. In principle, the presence of carbon…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 B. C. Thomas , A. L. Melott , L. D. Martin , C. H. Jackman

The emergence of the James Webb Space Telescope and the development of other advanced observatories (e.g., ELTs, LIFE and HWO) marks a pivotal moment in the quest to characterize the atmospheres of Earth-like exoplanets. Motivated by these…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-30 Paolo De Luca , Marrick Braam , Thaddeus D. Komacek , Assaf Hochman

Evaluating the magnitude of natural climate variations is important because it can greatly affect future climate policies. As an example, we examine the influence of changes in solar activity (solar wind in particular) on surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-12 Kiminori Itoh , Shinya Matsuo , Hiroshi Serizawa , Kazuyoshi Yamashita , Takashi Amemiya

The coupled Arctic system is in rapid transition and is set to undergo further dramatic changes over the coming decades. These changes will lead most likely to an ice-free ocean in summer, expected before mid-century. The Arctic will become…