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Time series analysis is vital for numerous applications, and transformers have become increasingly prominent in this domain. Leading methods customize the transformer architecture from NLP and CV, utilizing a patching technique to convert…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Yanjun Zhao , Tian Zhou , Chao Chen , Liang Sun , Yi Qian , Rong Jin

Time series forecasting is a long-standing challenge due to the real-world information is in various scenario (e.g., energy, weather, traffic, economics, earthquake warning). However some mainstream forecasting model forecasting result is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Maowei Jiang , Pengyu Zeng , Kai Wang , Huan Liu , Wenbo Chen , Haoran Liu

Existing video recognition algorithms always conduct different training pipelines for inputs with different frame numbers, which requires repetitive training operations and multiplying storage costs. If we evaluate the model using other…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Yitian Zhang , Yue Bai , Chang Liu , Huan Wang , Sheng Li , Yun Fu

Test-time adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising approach for improving time series forecasting (TSF) under distribution shift. Existing TSF-TTA methods differ in how they utilize revealed targets, yet the resulting adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Haochun Wang , Ruichen Xu , Georgios Kementzidis , Karen Cho , Sebastian Ramirez Villarreal , Yuefan Deng

This paper presents a practical approach for detecting non-stationarity in time series prediction. This method is called SAFE and works by monitoring the evolution of the spectral contents of time series through a distance function. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Arief Koesdwiady , Fakhri Karray

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Recently the study of modeling a non-stationary signal as a superposition of amplitude and frequency-modulated Fourier-like oscillatory modes has been a very active research area. The synchrosqueezing transform (SST) is a powerful method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Haiyan Cai , Qingtang Jiang , Lin Li , Bruce W. Suter

Nonstationary time series forecasting suffers from the distribution shift issue due to the different distributions that produce the training and test data. Existing methods attempt to alleviate the dependence by, e.g., removing low-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Lingwei Zhu , Yushun Dong , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

The probability prediction of multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging but practical task. On the one hand, the challenge is how to effectively capture the cross-series correlations between interacting time series, to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Shibo Feng , Chunyan Miao , Ke Xu , Jiaxiang Wu , Pengcheng Wu , Yang Zhang , Peilin Zhao

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is widely used for analyzing non-stationary signals. However, its performance is highly sensitive to its parameters, and manual or heuristic tuning often yields suboptimal results. To overcome this…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Maxime Leiber , Yosra Marnissi , Axel Barrau , Sylvain Meignen , Laurent Massoulié

This study presents a novel time series prediction model, FPN-fusion, designed with linear computational complexity, demonstrating superior predictive performance compared to DLiner without increasing parameter count or computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Chu Li , Pingjia Xiao , Qiping Yuan

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

While most time series are non-stationary, it is inevitable for models to face the distribution shift issue in time series forecasting. Existing solutions manipulate statistical measures (usually mean and std.) to adjust time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Wei Fan , Kun Yi , Hangting Ye , Zhiyuan Ning , Qi Zhang , Ning An

Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

We consider a time series model involving a fractional stochastic component, whose integration order can lie in the stationary/invertible or nonstationary regions and be unknown, and an additive deterministic component consisting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson

Accurate spectrum prediction is crucial for dynamic spectrum access (DSA) and resource allocation. However, due to the unique characteristics of spectrum data, existing methods based on the time or frequency domain often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yanghao Qin , Bo Zhou , Guangliang Pan , Qihui Wu , Meixia Tao

We propose Mixed-Panels-Transformer Encoder (MPTE), a novel framework for estimating factor models in panel datasets with mixed frequencies and nonlinear signals. Traditional factor models rely on linear signal extraction and require…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Alessio Brini , Ekaterina Seregina

Recent advances in computer vision take advantage of adversarial data augmentation to ameliorate the generalization ability of classification models. Here, we present an effective and efficient alternative that advocates adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Tianlong Chen , Yu Cheng , Zhe Gan , Jianfeng Wang , Lijuan Wang , Zhangyang Wang , Jingjing Liu