English

FPN-fusion: Enhanced Linear Complexity Time Series Forecasting Model

Machine Learning 2024-06-12 v1 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

This study presents a novel time series prediction model, FPN-fusion, designed with linear computational complexity, demonstrating superior predictive performance compared to DLiner without increasing parameter count or computational demands. Our model introduces two key innovations: first, a Feature Pyramid Network (FPN) is employed to effectively capture time series data characteristics, bypassing the traditional decomposition into trend and seasonal components. Second, a multi-level fusion structure is developed to integrate deep and shallow features seamlessly. Empirically, FPN-fusion outperforms DLiner in 31 out of 32 test cases on eight open-source datasets, with an average reduction of 16.8% in mean squared error (MSE) and 11.8% in mean absolute error (MAE). Additionally, compared to the transformer-based PatchTST, FPN-fusion achieves 10 best MSE and 15 best MAE results, using only 8% of PatchTST's total computational load in the 32 test projects.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2406.06603,
  title  = {FPN-fusion: Enhanced Linear Complexity Time Series Forecasting Model},
  author = {Chu Li and Pingjia Xiao and Qiping Yuan},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.06603},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

FPN,time series,fusion. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2401.03001 by other authors

R2 v1 2026-06-28T17:00:12.077Z