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In this work, we aim to understand the influence of the heterogeneity of infection rates on the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic spreading. Employing the classic SIS model as the benchmark, we study the influence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-26 Steven P. Lalley

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

We exhibit a scaling law for the critical SIS stochastic epidemic: If at time 0 the population consists of square root N infected and N - square root N susceptible individuals, then when time and number currently infected are both scaled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. G. Dolgoarshinnykh Steven P. Lalley

The hypergraph offers a platform to study structural properties emerging from more complicated and higher-order than pairwise interactions among constituents and dynamical behavior such as the spread of information or disease. Recently, a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-01 Bukyoung Jhun , Minjae Jo , B. Kahng

The susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) epidemic process on complex networks can show metastability, resembling an endemic equilibrium. In a general setting, the metastable state may involve a large portion of the network, or it can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-03 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Aram Vajdi , Caterina Scoglio

The stochastic SIRS model is a continuous-time Markov chain modelling the spread of infectious diseases with temporary immunity, in a homogeneously-mixing population of fixed size $N$. We study the scaling behaviour of the extinction time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Jingran Zhai

In this work, some new exact and approximate analytical solutions are obtained for the SIR epidemic model, which is formulated in terms of dimensionless variables and parameters. The susceptibles population (S) is in this way explicitly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-04 Mario Berberan-Santos

This paper revisits a longstanding problem of interest concerning the distributed control of an epidemic process on human contact networks. Due to the stochastic nature and combinatorial complexity of the problem, finding optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Mohammad Mubarak , Cameron Nowzari

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-12 Nuno Crokidakis , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We consider an SIR-type (Susceptible $\to$ Infected $\to$ Recovered) stochastic epidemic process with multiple modes of transmission on a contact network. The network is given by a random graph following a multilayer configuration model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-22 Karly A. Jacobsen , Mark G. Burch , Joseph H. Tien , Grzegorz A. Rempała

The cutoff phenomenon describes a sharp transition in the convergence of an ergodic finite Markov chain to equilibrium. Of particular interest is understanding this convergence for the simple random walk on a bounded-degree expander graph.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Eyal Lubetzky , Allan Sly

The aim of the study was to compare the epidemic spread on static and dynamic small-world networks. The network was constructed as a 2-dimensional Watts-Strogatz model (500x500 square lattice with additional shortcuts), and the dynamics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-28 J. K. Ochab , P. F. Góra

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

We study the spread of disease in an SIS model. The model considered is a time-varying, switched model, in which the parameters of the SIS model are subject to abrupt change. We show that the joint spectral radius can be used as a threshold…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-21 Mustapha Ait Rami , Vahid S. Bokharaie , Oliver Mason , Fabian R. Wirth

Consider a Markovian SIR epidemic model in a homogeneous community. To this model we add a rate at which individuals are tested, and once an infectious individual tests positive it is isolated and each of their contacts are traced and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-08 Dongni Zhang , Tom Britton

In this work we performed a numerical study of an epidemic model that mimics the endemic state of whooping cough in the pre-vaccine era. We considered a stochastic SIR model on dynamical networks that involve local and global contacts among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-09 Martin Dottori , Gabriel Fabricius

This paper is devoted to the study of a stochastic epidemiological model which is a variant of the SIR model to which we add an extra factor in the transition rate from susceptible to infected accounting for the inflow of infection due to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Gadi Fibich , Samuel Nordmann

The presence of a unique absorbing state in the finite state space of an epidemic process always poses a challenge in the definition of its epidemiological threshold. Without the elimination of the absorbing state of the SIS process we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-14 Norbert Barankai , József Stéger