English

Probing into the effectiveness of self-isolation policies in epidemic control

Populations and Evolution 2012-06-12 v1 Physics and Society

Abstract

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation policies. Specifically, we consider that each individual in the network is originally linked to two types of individuals: members of the same household and acquaintances. The topology of this network evolves taking into account a probability qq that aims at representing the quarantine or isolation process in which the connection with acquaintances is disrupted according to standard policies of control of epidemics. Within current policies of self-isolation and standard infection rates, our results show that the propagation is either only controllable for hypothetical rates of compliance or uncontrollable at all.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1205.3337,
  title  = {Probing into the effectiveness of self-isolation policies in epidemic control},
  author = {Nuno Crokidakis and Silvio M. Duarte Queiros},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1205.3337},
  year   = {2012}
}

Comments

15 pages, 6 figures, to appear in JSTAT