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We propose a novel calibration method for computer simulators, dealing with the problem of covariate shift. Covariate shift is the situation where input distributions for training and test are different, and ubiquitous in applications of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-20 Keiichi Kisamori , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

Estimating a vector $\mathbf{x}$ from noisy linear measurements $\mathbf{Ax}+\mathbf{w}$ often requires use of prior knowledge or structural constraints on $\mathbf{x}$ for accurate reconstruction. Several recent works have considered…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Alyson K. Fletcher , Sundeep Rangan , Subrata Sarkar , Philip Schniter

Reconstruction of sets from a random sample of points intimately related to them is the goal of set estimation theory. Within this context, a particular problem is the one related with the reconstruction of density level sets and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Paula Saavedra-Nieves , Rosa María Crujeiras

The approximation of integral functionals with respect to a stationary Markov process by a Riemann-sum estimator is studied. Stationarity and the functional calculus of the infinitesimal generator of the process are used to get a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Randolf Altmeyer , Jakub Chorowski

This paper presents a new perspective on the identification at infinity for the intercept of the sample selection model as identification at the boundary via a transformation of the selection index. This perspective suggests generalizations…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-13 Zhewen Pan

In this paper we propose an estimator of spot covariance matrix which ensure symmetric positive semi-definite estimations. The proposed estimator relies on a suitable modification of the Fourier covariance estimator in Malliavin and Mancino…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Jirô Akahori , Nien-Lin Liu , Maria Elvira Mancino , Tommaso Mariotti , Yukie Yasuda

Functional bilevel methods estimate a lower-level function and plug it into a hypergradient, but this plug-in gradient can retain first-order bias when the lower-level problem is learned nonparametrically. To remove this bias, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Fares El Khoury , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Michael Arbel , Aurélien Bibaut

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: $dX_t=a_tdt+\sigma_tdW_t$, where $X$ denotes the log-price and $\sigma$ is a c\`adl\`ag semi-martingale. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 A. Alvarez , F. Panloup , M. Pontier , N. Savy

Estimating expected polynomials of density functions from samples is a basic problem with numerous applications in statistics and information theory. Although kernel density estimators are widely used in practice for such functional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-13 Weihao Gao , Sewoong Oh , Pramod Viswanath

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We consider the problem of estimation of a bivariate density function with support $\Re\times[0,\infty)$, where a classical bivariate kernel estimator causes boundary bias due to the non-negative variable. To overcome this problem, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-08 Uttam Bandyopadhyay , Soumita Modak

To address model uncertainty under flexible loss functions in prediction problems, we propose a model averaging method that accommodates various loss functions, including asymmetric linear and quadratic loss functions, as well as many other…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Dieqi Gu , Qingfeng Liu , Xinyu Zhang

We investigate the asymptotic mean squared error of kernel estimators of the intensity function of a spatial point process. We show that when $n$ independent copies of a point process in $\mathbb R^d$ are superposed, the optimal bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-11 M. N. M. van Lieshout

Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments is a common problem in practice, for example, in studying average dose-response functions. Classical analyses typically assume that all confounders are fully observed, whereas in real-world…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

A new data-based smoothing parameter for circular kernel density (and its derivatives) estimation is proposed. Following the plug-in ideas, unknown quantities on an optimal smoothing parameter are replaced by suitable estimates. This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-21 Jose Ameijeiras-Alonso

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

In this paper we present a slight modification of the Fourier estimation method of the spot volatility (matrix) process of a continuous It\^o semimartingale where the estimators are always non-negative definite. Since the estimators are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-02 Jirô Akahori , Nien-Lin Liu , Maria Elvira Mancino , Yukie Yasuda

Kernel-based modal statistical methods include mode estimation, regression, and clustering. Estimation accuracy of these methods depends on the kernel used as well as the bandwidth. We study effect of the selection of the kernel function to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Ryoya Yamasaki , Toshiyuki Tanaka

For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida
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