English

Estimation of the instantaneous volatility

Statistical Finance 2015-03-13 v4 Probability Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: dXt=atdt+σtdWtdX_t=a_tdt+\sigma_tdW_t, where XX denotes the log-price and σ\sigma is a c\`adl\`ag semi-martingale. In the spirit of a series of recent works on the estimation of the cumulated volatility, we here focus on the instantaneous volatility for which we study estimators built as finite differences of the \textit{power variations} of the log-price. We provide central limit theorems with an optimal rate depending on the local behavior of σ\sigma. In particular, these theorems yield some confidence intervals for σt\sigma_t.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0812.3538,
  title  = {Estimation of the instantaneous volatility},
  author = {A. Alvarez and F. Panloup and M. Pontier and N. Savy},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0812.3538},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

Submitted to Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes. 28 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-21T11:53:36.503Z