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We study policy evaluation of offline contextual bandits subject to unobserved confounders. Sensitivity analysis methods are commonly used to estimate the policy value under the worst-case confounding over a given uncertainty set. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Kei Ishikawa , Niao He

Distributed estimation in the context of sensor networks is considered, where distributed agents are given a set of sensor measurements, and are tasked with estimating a target variable. A subset of sensors are assumed to be faulty. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-26 Marian Temprana Alonso , Farhad Shirani , S. Sitharama Iyengar

Kernel estimation techniques, such as mean shift, suffer from one major drawback: the kernel bandwidth selection. The bandwidth can be fixed for all the data set or can vary at each points. Automatic bandwidth selection becomes a real…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-11-10 Aurelie Bugeau , Patrick Pérez

We study the problem of estimating the derivatives of a regression function, which has a wide range of applications as a key nonparametric functional of unknown functions. Standard analysis may be tailored to specific derivative orders, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-29 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

In this paper, we aim at estimating the quarticity of continuous It\^{o} semimartingales. Instead of using some classical estimators, we introduce a more intuitive one and establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for it, with a convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Yi Guo

This paper presents a novel framework for estimating the position and orientation of flexible manipulators undergoing vertical motion using multiple inertial measurement units (IMUs), optimized and calibrated with ground truth data. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Amir Hossein Barjini , Jouni Mattila

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-04 Peter Kovesarki , Ian C. Brock

In nonparametric statistical problems, we wish to find an estimator of an unknown function f. We can split its error into bias and variance terms; Smirnov, Bickel and Rosenblatt have shown that, for a histogram or kernel estimate, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Adam D. Bull

This paper presents uniform convergence rates for kernel regression estimators, in the setting of a structural nonlinear cointegrating regression model. We generalise the existing literature in three ways. First, the domain to which these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 James A. Duffy

In this article we consider Bowley's skewness measure and the Groeneveld-Meeden $b_{3}$ index in the context of finite population sampling. We employ the functional delta method to obtain asymptotic variance formulae for plug-in estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-20 Leo Pasquazzi

We consider the problem of estimating a regression function when a covariate is measured with error. Using the local polynomial estimator of Delaigle, Fan, and Carroll (2009) as a benchmark, we propose an alternative way of solving the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

This study intends to introduce kernel mean embedding of probability measures over infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert spaces induced by functional response statistical models. The embedded function represents the concentration of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Saeed Hayati , Kenji Fukumizu , Afshin Parvardeh

We address the problem of estimating the expected shortfall risk of a financial loss using a finite number of i.i.d. data. It is well known that the classical plug-in estimator suffers from poor statistical performance when faced with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-13 Daniel Bartl , Stephan Eckstein

We present a comprehensive theory of homogeneous volatility (and variance) estimators of arbitrary stochastic processes that fully exploit the OHLC (open, high, low, close) prices. For this, we develop the theory of most efficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-13 A. Saichev , D. Sornette , V. Filimonov

This work addresses the distributed estimation problem in a set membership framework. The agents of a network collect measurements which are affected by bounded errors, thus implying that the unknown parameters to be estimated belong to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Francesco Farina , Andrea Garulli , Antonio Giannitrapani

A new plug-in rule procedure for bandwidth selection in kernel circular density estimation is introduced. The performance of this proposal is checked throughout a simulation study considering a variety of circular distributions exhibiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-29 M. Oliveira , R. M. Crujeiras , A. Rodríguez-Casal

A modified gamma kernel should not be automatically preferred to the standard gamma kernel, especially for univariate convex densities with a pole at the origin. In the multivariate case, multiple combined gamma kernels, defined as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Sobom M. Somé , Célestin C. Kokonendji , Smail Adjabi , Naushad A. Mamode Khan , Said Beddek

We propose a quasi maximum likelihood estimation method for Bergomi-type stochastic volatility models with parametrized kernels, focusing on the estimation of the kernel parameters from high-frequency time-series observations of option…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Masaaki Fukasawa , Haruki Tomita

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov