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With the availability of high frequency financial data, nonparametric estimation of volatility of an asset return process becomes feasible. A major problem is how to estimate the volatility consistently and efficiently, when the observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lan Zhang

We provide a new estimator of integral operators with smooth kernels, obtained from a set of scattered and noisy impulse responses. The proposed approach relies on the formalism of smoothing in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Jérémie Bigot , Paul Escande , Pierre Weiss

This paper introduces a class of k-nearest neighbor ($k$-NN) estimators called bipartite plug-in (BPI) estimators for estimating integrals of non-linear functions of a probability density, such as Shannon entropy and R\'enyi entropy. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Kumar Sricharan , Raviv Raich , Alfred O. Hero

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Whitney

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying random vector Xis fully described by its limiting spectral measure. In this paper, we investigate how torecover characteristics of the measure, such as extremal coefficients, from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Marco Oesting , Olivier Wintenberger

We study the non-parametric estimation of an unknown stationary density fV of an unobserved strictly stationary volatility process $(\bm V_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\IRp^2 := (0,\infty)^2$ based on discrete-time observations in a stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Sergio Brenner Miguel

Betas from spot regressions are central to asset pricing and risk management, as measures of systematic risk. This paper develops a new estimation and inference framework for spot regressions by leveraging high-frequency candlesticks,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-01 Yasin Simsek

In this paper, we construct a moment inequality for mixing dependent random variables, it is of independent interest. As applications, the consistency of the kernel density estimation is investigated. Several limit theorems are established:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Yuexu Zhao , Zhengyan Lin

Band-limited functions are fundamental objects that are widely used in systems theory and signal processing. In this paper we refine a recent nonparametric, nonasymptotic method for constructing simultaneous confidence regions for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

We review beam position monitors adopting the perspective of an analogue-to- digital converter in a sampling data acquisition system. From a statistical treatment of independent data samples we derive basic formulae of position uncertainty…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2019-04-23 Andreas Reiter , Rahul Singh , Oleksandr Chorniy

This paper deals with a nonparametric warped kernel estimator $\widehat b$ of the drift function computed from independent continuous observations of a diffusion process. A risk bound on $\widehat b$ is established. The paper also deals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Nicolas Marie , Amélie Rosier

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

We estimate the derivative of a probability density function defined on $[0,\infty)$. For this purpose, we choose the class of kernel estimators with asymmetric gamma kernel functions. The use of gamma kernels is fruitful due to the fact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 L. A. Markovich

Under general multivariate regular variation conditions, the extreme Value-at-Risk of a portfolio can be expressed as an integral of a known kernel with respect to a generally unknown spectral measure supported on the unit simplex. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Robert Yuen , Stilian Stoev , Dan Cooley

Debiased machine learning is a meta algorithm based on bias correction and sample splitting to calculate confidence intervals for functionals, i.e. scalar summaries, of machine learning algorithms. For example, an analyst may desire the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Rahul Singh

Jittering estimators are nonparametric function estimators for mixed data. They extend arbitrary estimators from the continuous setting by adding random noise to discrete variables. We give an in-depth analysis of the jittering kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Thomas Nagler

In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Yaoliang Yu , Csaba Szepesvari

We reconsider the existing kernel estimators for a copula function, as proposed in Gijbels and Mielniczuk [Comm. Statist. Theory Methods 19 (1990) 445--464], Fermanian, Radulovi\v{c} and Wegkamp [Bernoulli 10 (2004) 847--860] and Chen and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Marek Omelka , Irène Gijbels , Noël Veraverbeke

In this paper, we first investigate the estimation of the empirical joint Laplace transform of volatilities of two semi-martingales within a fixed time interval [0, T] by using overlapped increments of high-frequency data. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-05 XinWei Feng , Yu Jiang , Zhi Liu , Zhe Meng

We estimate the kernel function of a symmetric alpha stable ($S\alpha S$) moving average random function which is observed on a regular grid of points. The proposed estimator relies on the empirical normalized (smoothed) periodogram. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Jürgen Kampf , Georgiy Shevchenko , Evgeny Spodarev