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We study inference for linear quantile regression with two-way clustered data. Using a separately exchangeable array framework and a projection decomposition of the quantile score, we characterize regime-dependent convergence rates and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Ulrich Hounyo , Jiahao Lin

We investigate iterated compositions of weighted sums of Gaussian kernels and provide an interpretation of the construction that shows some similarities with the architectures of deep neural networks. On the theoretical side, we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Thomann , Nico Schmid

Circular permutation connects the N and C termini of a protein and concurrently cleaves elsewhere in the chain, providing an important mechanism for generating novel protein fold and functions. However, their in genomes is unknown because…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-17 T. Andrew Binkowski , Bhaskar DasGupta , Jie Liang

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation error. This additional source of uncertainty, due to limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We present a novel scheme to accurately predict atomic forces as vector quantities, rather than sets of scalar components, by Gaussian Process (GP) Regression. This is based on matrix-valued kernel functions, on which we impose the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-06-14 Aldo Glielmo , Peter Sollich , Alessandro De Vita

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

Gaussian process regression machine learning with a physically-informed kernel is used to model the phase compositions of nickel-base superalloys. The model delivers good predictions for laboratory and commercial superalloys, with $R^2>0.8$…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-09-29 Patrick L. Taylor , Gareth Conduit

Modern datasets across many disciplines increasingly consist of time-evolving, potentially infinite-dimensional random objects, such as dynamic functional data, which are naturally modeled in Hilbert spaces. In these settings,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Daniel López-Montero , Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

We develop some theoretical results for a robust similarity measure named "generalized min-max" (GMM). This similarity has direct applications in machine learning as a positive definite kernel and can be efficiently computed via…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-02 Ping Li , Cun-Hui Zhang

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing distribution based on data coming from a mixture model is a challenging problem. Beyond estimation, there is interest in uncertainty quantification, e.g., confidence intervals for features of the mixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-14 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

The ability to identify useful features or representations of the input data based on training data that achieves low prediction error on test data across multiple prediction tasks is considered the key to multitask learning success. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Soumya Mukherjee , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

The Gaussian kernel is one of the most important kernels, applicable to many research fields, including scientific computing and data science. In this paper, we present asymptotic analysis of the Gaussian kernel matrix in high dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kensuke Aishima

Recently, there has been a growing interest for mixed-categorical meta-models based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogates. In this setting, several existing approaches use different strategies either by using continuous kernels (e.g.,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-25 P. Saves , Y. Diouane , N. Bartoli , T. Lefebvre , J. Morlier

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood