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In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the posterior covariance field in Gaussian processes, with applications to the posterior covariance matrix. The analysis is based on the Gaussian prior covariance but the approach also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Difeng Cai , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Several statistical approaches based on reproducing kernels have been proposed to detect abrupt changes arising in the full distribution of the observations and not only in the mean or variance. Some of these approaches enjoy good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Alain Celisse , Guillemette Marot , Morgane Pierre-Jean , Guillem Rigaill

A modified gamma kernel should not be automatically preferred to the standard gamma kernel, especially for univariate convex densities with a pole at the origin. In the multivariate case, multiple combined gamma kernels, defined as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Sobom M. Somé , Célestin C. Kokonendji , Smail Adjabi , Naushad A. Mamode Khan , Said Beddek

Gaussian processes (GPs) are used to make medical and scientific decisions, including in cardiac care and monitoring of atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. Notably, the choice of GP kernel is often somewhat arbitrary. In particular,…

Motivated by the need for efficient and personalized learning in mobile health, we investigate the problem of online kernel selection for Gaussian Process regression in the multi-task setting. We propose a novel generative process on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Eura Shin , Pedja Klasnja , Susan Murphy , Finale Doshi-Velez

The Gaussian Process with a deep kernel is an extension of the classic GP regression model and this extended model usually constructs a new kernel function by deploying deep learning techniques like long short-term memory networks. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Yong Shi , Wei Dai , Wen Long , Bo Li

This paper proposes a novel method for deep learning based on the analytical convolution of multidimensional Gaussian mixtures. In contrast to tensors, these do not suffer from the curse of dimensionality and allow for a compact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Adam Celarek , Pedro Hermosilla , Bernhard Kerbl , Timo Ropinski , Michael Wimmer

Semi- and non-parametric mixture of regressions are a very useful flexible class of mixture of regressions in which some or all of the parameters are non-parametric functions of the covariates. These models are, however, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Weixin Yao

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful kernelized methods for non-parameteric regression used in many applications. However, their use is limited to a few thousand of training samples due to their cubic time complexity. In order to scale GPs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-20 Manuel Schürch , Dario Azzimonti , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

Long-term forecasting involves predicting a horizon that is far ahead of the last observation. It is a problem of high practical relevance, for instance for companies in order to decide upon expensive long-term investments. Despite the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Kai Chen , Twan van Laarhoven , Elena Marchiori

We obtain upper bounds for the estimation error of Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) for all non-negative regularization parameters, offering a geometric perspective on various phenomena in KRR. As applications: 1. We address the multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Guillaume Lecué , Zong Shang

This tutorial aims to provide an intuitive introduction to Gaussian process regression (GPR). GPR models have been widely used in machine learning applications due to their representation flexibility and inherent capability to quantify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Jie Wang

The expressive power of Bayesian kernel-based methods has led them to become an important tool across many different facets of artificial intelligence, and useful to a plethora of modern application domains, providing both power and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Luca Martino , Jesse Read

The relative balance between physics and data within any physics-informed machine learner is an important modelling consideration to ensure that the benefits of both physics and data-based approaches are maximised. An over reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Daniel James Pitchforth , Matthew Rhys Jones , Samuel John Gibson , Elizabeth Jane Cross

We consider the kernel partial least squares algorithm for non-parametric regression with stationary dependent data. Probabilistic convergence rates of the kernel partial least squares estimator to the true regression function are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Marco Singer , Tatyana Krivobokova , Axel Munk

We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

In this paper, we propose a random projection approach to estimate variance in kernel ridge regression. Our approach leads to a consistent estimator of the true variance, while being computationally more efficient. Our variance estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Meimei Liu , Jean Honorio , Guang Cheng

In this note, we introduce a family of "power sum" kernels and the corresponding Gaussian processes on symmetric groups $\mathrm{S}_n$. Such processes are bi-invariant: the action of $\mathrm{S}_n$ on itself from both sides does not change…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Iskander Azangulov , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andrei Smolensky
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