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We study the relationship between online Gaussian process (GP) regression and kernel least mean squares (KLMS) algorithms. While the latter have no capacity of storing the entire posterior distribution during online learning, we discover…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Steven Van Vaerenbergh , Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira

We adapt Gaussian processes for estimating the average dose-response function in observational settings, introducing a powerful complement to treatment effect estimation for understanding heterogeneous effects. We incorporate samples from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Jake R. Dailey

We propose a novel adaptive kernel based regression method for complex-valued signals: the generalized complex-valued kernel least-mean-square (gCKLMS). We borrow from the new results on widely linear reproducing kernel Hilbert space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-02 Rafael Boloix-Tortosa , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

Semi- and non-parametric mixture of regressions are a very useful flexible class of mixture of regressions in which some or all of the parameters are non-parametric functions of the covariates. These models are, however, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Peterson Mambondimumwe , Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Najmeh Nakhaei Rad

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-22 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Eric Maris

Density estimation represents one of the most successful applications of Bayesian nonparametrics. In particular, Dirichlet process mixtures of normals are the gold standard for density estimation and their asymptotic properties have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-02 Antonio Canale , Pierpaolo De Blasi

We are interested in a framework of online learning with kernels for low-dimensional but large-scale and potentially adversarial datasets. We study the computational and theoretical performance of online variations of kernel Ridge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Rémi Jézéquel , Pierre Gaillard , Alessandro Rudi

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

This paper presents a variational Bayesian kernel selection (VBKS) algorithm for sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models. In contrast to existing GP kernel selection algorithms that aim to select only one kernel with the highest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Tong Teng , Jie Chen , Yehong Zhang , Kian Hsiang Low

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

Kernel-based multivariate statistical process control (K-MSPC) extends classical monitoring to nonlinear industrial processes. Its performance depends critically on kernel parameters such as lengthscales and variance terms. In current…

Gaussian process regression is a machine learning approach which has been shown its power for estimation of unknown functions. However, Gaussian processes suffer from high computational complexity, as in a basic form they scale cubically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Danil Kuzin , Le Yang , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

The Gaussian kernel plays a central role in machine learning, uncertainty quantification and scattered data approximation, but has received relatively little attention from a numerical analysis standpoint. The basic problem of finding an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates , Mark Girolami

Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

In this work, we draw attention to a connection between skill-based models of game outcomes and Gaussian process classification models. The Gaussian process perspective enables a) a principled way of dealing with uncertainty and b) rich…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Antonio J. González Ferrer , Matthias Grossglauser

Kernel Estimation provides an unbinned and non-parametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. In the first section, after a brief discussion on parametric and non-parametric methods, the theory of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 Kyle S. Cranmer