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We study a linear recursion with random Markov-dependent coefficients. In a "regular variation in, regular variation out" setup we show that its stationary solution has a multivariate regularly varying distribution. This extends results…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 D. Hay , R. Rastegar , A. Roitershtein

Conditional independence and Markov properties are powerful tools allowing expression of multidimensional probability distributions by means of low-dimensional ones. As multidimensional possibilistic models have been studied for several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jirina Vejnarova

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

We define a notion of stochastic domination between trees, where one tree dominates another if when the vertices of each are labeled with independent, identically distributed random variables, one tree is always more likely to contain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

Maximum entropy (maxEnt) inference of state probabilities using state-dependent constraints is popular in the study of complex systems. In stochastic dynamical systems, the effect of state space topology and path-dependent constraints on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Purushottam D. Dixit

Mathematical models of motility are often based on random-walk descriptions of discrete individuals that can move according to certain rules. It is usually the case that large masses concentrated in small regions of space have a great…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-23 Carles Falcó

Distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRSO) is a framework for decision-making problems under certainty, which finds solutions that perform well for a chosen set of probability distributions. Many different approaches for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Rui Gao , Anton J. Kleywegt

Given a matrix of distribution functions and a quasi-stochastic matrix, i.e. an irreducible nonnegative matrix with maximal eigenvalue one and associated unique positive left and right eigenvectors, the article studies the properties of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

We study locally interacting processes in discrete time, often called probabilistic cellular automata, indexed by locally finite graphs. For infinite regular trees and certain generalized Galton-Watson trees, we show that the marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

The focus of this article is on entropy and Markov processes. We study the properties of functionals which are invariant with respect to monotonic transformations and analyze two invariant "additivity" properties: (i) existence of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 A. N. Gorban , P. A. Gorban , G. Judge

This article investigates the topological pressure of isotropic axial products of Markov subshifts on the $d$-tree. We show that the quantity increases with dimension $d$. To achieve this, we introduce the pattern distribution vectors and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Jung-Chao Ban , Yu-Liang Wu

This paper integrates two strands of the literature on stability of general state Markov chains: conventional, total variation based results and more recent order-theoretic results. First we introduce a complete metric over Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We find the perhaps surprising inequality that the weighted average of independent and identically distributed Pareto random variables with infinite mean is larger than one such random variable in the sense of first-order stochastic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-14 Yuyu Chen , Paul Embrechts , Ruodu Wang

Mixture transition distribution time series models build high-order dependence through a weighted combination of first-order transition densities for each one of a specified number of lags. We present a framework to construct stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

We are interested in the local limits of families of random trees that satisfy the Markov branching property, which is fulfilled by a wide range of models. Loosely, this property entails that given the sizes of the sub-trees above the root,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Camille Pagnard

In this paper we investigate the use of staged tree models for discrete longitudinal data. Staged trees are a type of probabilistic graphical model for finite sample space processes. They are a natural fit for longitudinal data because a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Jack Storror Carter , Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno , Alessandro Ugolini

We justify and discuss expressions for joint lower and upper expectations in imprecise probability trees, in terms of the sub- and supermartingales that can be associated with such trees. These imprecise probability trees can be seen as…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock , Stavros Lopatatzidis

We prove stochastic stability of chaotic maps for a general class of Markov random perturbations (including singular ones) satisfying some kind of mixing conditions. One of the consequences of this statement is the proof of Ulam's…

chao-dyn · Physics 2017-01-16 Michael Blank , Gerhard Keller

The article considers the multivariate stochastic orders of upper orthants, lower orthants and positive quadrant dependence (PQD) among simple max-stable distributions and their exponent measures. It is shown for each order that it holds…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Michela Corradini , Kirstin Strokorb