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This paper examines the impact of discrete marginal distributions on copula-based Markov chains. We present results on mixing and parameter estimation for a copula-based Markov chain model with Bernoulli($p$) marginal distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Mathias N. Muia , Martial Longla

We construct measures invariant with respect to equivalence relations which are graphed by horospheric products of trees. The construction is based on using conformal systems of boundary measures on treed equivalence relations. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-30 Vadim A. Kaimanovich , Florian Sobieczky

A novel probabilistic framework for modelling anomalous diffusion is presented. The resulting process is Markovian, non-homogeneous, non-stationary, non-ergodic, and state-dependent. The fundamental law governing this process is driven by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-03-07 Nestor Barraza , Gabriel Pena , Juliana Gambini , Florencia Carusela

We consider the problem of learning classification trees that are robust to distribution shifts between training and testing/deployment data. This problem arises frequently in high stakes settings such as public health and social work where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Nathan Justin , Sina Aghaei , Andrés Gómez , Phebe Vayanos

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

The ability to compute reward-optimal policies for given and known finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) underpins a variety of applications across planning, controller synthesis, and verification. However, we often want policies (1) to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Linus Heck , Filip Macák , Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges

We investigate optimality conditions for optimization problems constrained by a class of variational inequalities of the second kind. Based on a nonsmooth primal-dual reformulation of the governing inequality, the differentiability of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Juan-Carlos De Los Reyes , Christian Meyer

In recent years, a number of methods have been developed to infer complex demographic histories, especially historical population size changes, from genomic sequence data. Coalescent Hidden Markov Models have proven to be particularly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-10 Alexey Miroshnikov , Matthias Steinrücken

For a uniform random labelled tree, we find the limiting distribution of tree parameters which are stable (in some sense) with respect to local perturbations of the tree structure. The proof is based on the martingale central limit theorem…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mikhail Isaev , Angus Southwell , Maksim Zhukovskii

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

Markov combination is an operation that takes two statistical models and produces a third whose marginal distributions include those of the original models. Building upon and extending existing work in the Gaussian case, we develop Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Orlando Marigliano , Eva Riccomagno

In recent years, a range of measures of partial stochastic dominance have been introduced. These measures attempt to determine the extent to which one distribution is dominated by another. We assess these measures from intuitive, axiomatic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We study the joint occurrence of large values of a Markov random field or undirected graphical model associated to a block graph. On such graphs, containing trees as special cases, we aim to generalize recent results for extremes of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Stefka Asenova , Johan Segers

We consider stochastic differential equations on $\mathbb R^d$ with coefficients depending on the path and distribution for the whole history. Under a local integrability condition on the time-spatial singular drift, the well-posedness and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Feng-Yu Wang , Chenggui Yuan , Xiao-Yu Zhao

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

For Markov chains with a partially ordered finite state space we show strong stationary duality under the condition of M\"obius monotonicity of the chain. We show relations of M\"obius monotonicity to other definitions of monotone chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-04 Pawel Lorek , Ryszard Szekli

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

This article aims to investigate sufficient conditions for the stability of stochastic differential equations with a random structure, particularly in contexts involving the presence of concentration points. The proof of asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Taras Lukashiv , Igor V. Malyk , Maryna Chepeleva , Petr V. Nazarov

Because diffusion typically involves symmetric interactions, scant attention has been focused on studying asymmetric cases. However, important networked systems underlain by diffusion (e.g. cortical networks and WWW) are inherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-26 Cesar H. Comin , Matheus P. Viana , Lucas Antiqueira , Luciano da F. Costa
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