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A generalised one-dimensional Fisher-Wright diffusion process with mutations is considered. This is a well-known model in population genetics. An exponential recurrence is established for the process, which also implies an exponential rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Roman Sineokiy , Alexander Veretennikov

Let $X_t$ be the (reflecting) diffusion process generated by $L:=\Delta+\nabla V$ on a complete connected Riemannian manifold $M$ possibly with a boundary $\partial M$, where $V\in C^1(M)$ such that $\mu(d x):= e^{V(x)}d x$ is a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Feng-Yu Wang

Consider two forms of sampling from a population: (i) drawing $s$ samples of $n$ elements with replacement and (ii) drawing a single sample of $ns$ elements. In this paper, under the setting where the descending order population frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Koji Tsukuda , Shuhei Mano

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moment estimates of Rosenthal type for a rather general class of random variables satisfying certain bounds on the cumulants. We consider sequences of random variables which satisfy a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Peter Eichelsbacher , Lukas Knichel

Muller's ratchet is a paradigmatic model for the accumulation of deleterious mutations in a population of finite size. A click of the ratchet occurs when all individuals with the least number of deleterious mutations are lost irreversibly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-20 Jakob J. Metzger , Stephan Eule

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

Diffusion theory is a central tool of modern population genetics, yielding simple expressions for fixation probabilities and other quantities that are not easily derived from the underlying Wright-Fisher model. Unfortunately, the textbook…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-19 Camila Bräutigam , Matteo Smerlak

For a class of (non-symmetric) diffusion processes on a length space, which in particular include the (reflecting) diffusion processes on a connected compact Riemannian manifold, the exact convergence rate is derived for $({\mathbb E}…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Feng-Yu Wang , Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu

We study the extremes of a sequence of random variables $(R_n)$ defined by the recurrence $R_n=M_nR_{n-1}+q$, $n\ge1$, where $R_0$ is arbitrary, $(M_n)$ are iid copies of a non--degenerate random variable $M$, $0\le M\le1$, and $q>0$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Pawel Hitczenko

It is known that the time until a birth and death process reaches a certain level is distributed as a sum of independent exponential random variables. Diaconis, Miclo and Swart gave a probabilistic proof of this fact by coupling the birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Tobiáš Hudec

The Moran process is a foundational model of genetic drift and mutation in finite populations. In its standard two-allele form with population size $n$, allele counts, and hence allele frequencies, change through stochastic replacement and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

The Moran process models the spread of mutations in populations on graphs. We investigate the absorption time of the process, which is the time taken for a mutation introduced at a randomly chosen vertex to either spread to the whole…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-09-15 Josep Diaz , Leslie Ann Goldberg , David Richerby , Maria Serna

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

Consider a sequence of Markov processes $X^1, X^2,...$ with state space $E$, where $X^N$ has a strong drift to $D \subseteq E$, such that $\Phi(X^N)$ is slow for some appropriate $\Phi: E\to D$. Using the method of martingale problems, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Samuel Ayomide Adeosun , Peter Pfaffelhuber

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt

We consider a meanfield system of interacting Fisher-Wright diffusions with selection and rare mutation on the geographic space $\{1,2,...,N\}$. The type 1 has fitness 0, type 2 has fitness 1 and (rare) mutation occurs from type 1 to 2 at…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Donald A. Dawson , Andreas Greven

We consider the spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot process model for frequencies of genetic types in a population living in R^d, with two types of individuals (0 and 1) and natural selection favouring individuals of type 1. We first prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Alison Etheridge , Amandine Veber , Feng Yu

We study fixation probabilities for the Moran stochastic process for the evolution of a population with three or more types of individuals and frequency-dependent fitnesses. Contrarily to the case of populations with two types of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-26 Eliza M. Ferreira , Armando G. M. Neves

We replicate a renewal process at random times, which is equivalent to nesting two renewal processes, or considering a renewal process subject to stochastic resetting. We investigate the consequences on the statistical properties of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-31 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck