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Motivated by applications in biological science, we propose a novel test to assess the conditional mean dependence of a response variable on a large number of covariates. Our procedure is built on the martingale difference divergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Xianyang Zhang , Shun Yao , Xiaofeng Shao

Anomaly detection aims to identify observations that deviate from expected behavior. Because anomalous events are inherently sparse, most frameworks are trained exclusively on normal data to learn a single reference model of normality. This…

A notion of tail dependence based on operator regular variation is introduced for copulas, and the standard tail dependence used in the copula literature is included as a special case. The non-standard tail dependence with marginal power…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-11 Haijun Li

The importance of considering contextual probabilities in shaping response patterns within psychological testing is underscored, despite the ubiquitous nature of order effects discussed extensively in methodological literature. Drawing from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Andrea Bosco

Measuring dependence between two events, or equivalently between two binary random variables, amounts to expressing the dependence structure inherent in a $2\times 2$ contingency table in a real number between $-1$ and $1$. Countless such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Marc-Oliver Pohle , Timo Dimitriadis , Jan-Lukas Wermuth

Multivariate correlation analysis plays a key role in various fields such as statistics and big data analytics. In this paper, it is presented a new non-parametric association measure between more than two variables based on the concept of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Eloi Martinez-Rabert

Handling missing data in time series is a complex problem due to the presence of temporal dependence. General-purpose imputation methods, while widely used, often distort key statistical properties of the data, such as variance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Guilherme Pumi , Taiane Schaedler Prass , Douglas Krauthein Verdum

We introduce a general framework for testing temporal symmetries in time series based on the distribution of ordinal patterns. While previous approaches have focused on specific forms of asymmetry, such as time reversal, our method provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Annika Betken , Giorgio Micali , Manuel Ruiz Marín

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

Two families of dependence measures between random variables are introduced. They are based on the R\'enyi divergence of order $\alpha$ and the relative $\alpha$-entropy, respectively, and both dependence measures reduce to Shannon's mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-22 Amos Lapidoth , Christoph Pfister

A critical task in systems biology is the identification of genes that interact to control cellular processes by transcriptional activation of a set of target genes. Many methods have been developed to use statistical correlations in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-24 Adam A. Margolin , Kai Wang , Andrea Califano , Ilya Nemenman

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

In this paper we provide a theoretical analysis of counterfactual invariance. We present a variety of existing definitions, study how they relate to each other and what their graphical implications are. We then turn to the current major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jake Fawkes , Robin J. Evans

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

Measuring conditional dependencies among the variables of a network is of great interest to many disciplines. This paper studies some shortcomings of the existing dependency measures in detecting direct causal influences or their lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-05 Jalal Etesami , Kun Zhang , Negar Kiyavash

A popular measure of association is the tail dependence coefficient which measures the strength of dependence in either the lower-left or upper-right tail of a bivariate distribution. In this paper, we develop the idea of quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-09 A. Dastbaravarde , A. Dolati

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

We deal here with the issue of determinism versus randomness in time series. One wishes to identify their relative importance in a given time series. To this end we extend i) the use of ordinal patterns-based probability distribution…

In this paper we investigate the dependence structure for PARMA models (i.e. ARMA models with periodic coefficients) with symmetric alpha-stable innovations. In this case the covariance function is not defined and therefore other measures…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joanna Nowicka-Zagrajek , Agnieszka Wylomanska

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song
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