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Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Methods for sequential decision-making are often built upon a foundational assumption that the underlying decision process is stationary. This limits the application of such methods because real-world problems are often subject to changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Yash Chandak , Shiv Shankar , Nathaniel D. Bastian , Bruno Castro da Silva , Emma Brunskil , Philip S. Thomas

In an order-of-addition experiment, each treatment is a permutation of m components. It is often unaffordable to test all the m! treatments, and the design problem arises. We consider a model that incorporates the order of each pair of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Jiayu Peng , Rahul Mukerjee , Dennis K. J. Lin

Cyclic monotone independence is an algebraic notion of noncommutative independence, introduced in the study of multi-matrix random matrix models with small rank. Its algebraic form turns out to be surprisingly close to monotone…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Benoît Collins , Felix Leid , Noriyoshi Sakuma

In this paper, we perform a time-domain analysis of the higher-order Allan variance for atomic clock models of arbitrary order. Adopting a standard atomic clock model where the time series of the clock reading deviation is expressed as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Takayuki Ishizaki , Taichi Ichimura , Takahiro Kawaguchi , Yuichiro Yano , Yuko Hanado

In a previous paper [Pearl and Verma, 1991] we presented an algorithm for extracting causal influences from independence information, where a causal influence was defined as the existence of a directed arc in all minimal causal models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Tom S. Verma , Judea Pearl

In some inferential statistical methods, such as tests and confidence intervals, it is important to describe the stochastic behavior of statistical functionals, aside from their large sample properties. We study such behavior in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Tommaso Lando , Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Frequently econometricians are interested in verifying a relationship between two or more time series. Such analysis is typically carried out by causality and/or independence tests which have been well studied when the data is univariate or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Lajos Horvath , Greg Rice

The paper presents a construction of a quantitative measure of variability for parameter estimates in the data fitting problem under interval uncertainty. It shows the degree of variability and ambiguity of the estimate, and the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Sergey P. Shary

The ultimate purpose of the statistical analysis of ordinal patterns is to characterize the distribution of the features they induce. In particular, knowing the joint distribution of the pair Entropy-Statistical Complexity for a large class…

Although classical spectral analysis is a natural approach to characterise linear systems, it cannot describe a chaotic dynamics. Here, we propose the ordinal spectrum, a method based on a spectral transformation of symbolic sequences, to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-08 Mario Chavez , Johann H. Martinez

In Ordinal Classification tasks, items have to be assigned to classes that have a relative ordering, such as positive, neutral, negative in sentiment analysis. Remarkably, the most popular evaluation metrics for ordinal classification tasks…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Enrique Amigó , Julio Gonzalo , Stefano Mizzaro , Jorge Carrillo-de-Albornoz

Individual choices often depend on the order in which the decisions are made. In this paper, we expose a general theory of measurable systems (an example of which is an individual's preferences) allowing for incompatible (non-commuting)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-20 V. I. Danilov , A. Lambert-Mogiliansky

Data generated from a system of interest typically consists of measurements from an ensemble of subjects across multiple response and covariate features, and is naturally represented by one response-matrix against one covariate-matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Hsieh Fushing , Shan-Yu Liu , Yin-Chen Hsieh , Brenda McCowan

A key challenge in causal inference from observational studies is the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for causal inference that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Ying Zhou , Dingke Tang , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

We discuss the construction of component importance measures for binary coherent reliability systems from known stochastic dependence measures by measuring the dependence between system and component failures. We treat both the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-16 Mario Hellmich

Identifying causal relationships is a challenging yet crucial problem in many fields of science like epidemiology, climatology, ecology, genomics, economics and neuroscience, to mention only a few. Recent studies have demonstrated that…

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

We analyze the extreme value dependence of independent, not necessarily identically distributed multivariate regularly varying random vectors. More specifically, we propose estimators of the spectral measure locally at some time point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Holger Drees

To compare different forecasting methods on demand series we require an error measure. Many error measures have been proposed, but when demand is intermittent some become inapplicable, some give counter-intuitive results, and there is no…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-20 S. D. Prestwich , R. Rossi , S. A. Tarim , B. Hnich