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As a new method for detecting change-points in high-resolution time series, we apply Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the distributions of ordinal patterns in different parts of a time series. The main advantage of this approach is its…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sinn , Ali Ghodsi , Karsten Keller

Over the last couple of decades, several copula based methods have been proposed in the literature to test for the independence among several random variables. But these existing tests are not invariant under monotone transformations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-15 Angshuman Roy , Anil Ghosh , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

In this paper, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of multivariate normal means under arbitrary covariance dependence. Specifically, let $\boldsymbol{X}\sim N_n(\boldsymbol{\theta},\boldsymbol{\Sigma})$, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Pairwise comparisons are a well-known method for the representation of the subjective preferences of a decision maker. Evaluating their inconsistency has been a widely studied and discussed topic and several indices have been proposed in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-25 Matteo Brunelli , Michele Fedrizzi

Models of conformity and anti-conformity have typically focused on cultural traits with nominal (unordered) variants, such as baby names, strategies (cooperate/defect), or the presence/absence of an innovation. There have been fewer studies…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-22 Elisa Heinrich Mora , Kaleda K. Denton , Michael E. Palmer , Marcus W. Feldman

Ordinal regression refers to classifying object instances into ordinal categories. It has been widely studied in many scenarios, such as medical disease grading, movie rating, etc. Known methods focused only on learning inter-class ordinal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Jinhong Wang , Yi Cheng , Jintai Chen , Tingting Chen , Danny Chen , Jian Wu

This paper integrates two strands of the literature on stability of general state Markov chains: conventional, total variation based results and more recent order-theoretic results. First we introduce a complete metric over Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

This article deals with the problem of testing conditional independence between two random vectors ${\bf X}$ and ${\bf Y}$ given a confounding random vector ${\bf Z}$. Several authors have considered this problem for multivariate data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Bilol Banerjee

We use the framework of multivariate regular variation to analyse the extremal behaviour of preferential attachment models. To this end, we follow a directed linear preferential attachment model for a random, heavy-tailed number of steps in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Anja Janßen , Max Ziegenbalg

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

Time series interpretation aims to provide an explanation of what is observed in terms of its underlying processes. The present work is based on the assumption that the common classification-based approaches to time series interpretation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Tomás Teijeiro , Paulo Félix

The present work is dedicated to searching parameters, alternative to entropy, applicable for description of highly organized systems. The general concept has been offered, in which the system complexity and order are functions of the order…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-09-03 V. I. Ilyevsky

We present a bivariate vector valued discrete autoregressive model of order $1$ (BDAR($1$)) for discrete time series. The BDAR($1$) model assumes that each time series follows its own univariate DAR($1$) model with dependent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Anna Nalpantidi , Dimitris Karlis

We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

Codifference is a commonly used measure of dependence for stable vectors and processes for which covariance is infinite. However, we argue that it can also be used for other heavy-tail distributions and it provides useful information for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Jakub Ślęzak

Discrete but ordered covariates are quite common in applied statistics, and some regularized fitting procedures have been proposed for proper handling of ordinal predictors in statistical modeling. In this study, we show how quadratic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Jan Gertheiss , Fabian Scheipl , Tina Lauer , Harald Ehrhardt

Permutation entropy measures the complexity of deterministic time series via a data symbolic quantization consisting of rank vectors called ordinal patterns or just permutations. The reasons for the increasing popularity of this entropy in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-08 José M. Amigó , Roberto Dale , Piergiulio Tempesta

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction intervals around our forecasts? To avoid placing distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rina Foygel Barber , Ashwin Pananjady
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