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Related papers: Functional Limit Theorems for Hawkes Processes

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We prove a functional limit theorem for vector-valued functionals of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, providing the foundation for the fluctuation theory of slow/fast systems driven by such a noise. Our main contribution is on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Johann Gehringer , Xue-Mei Li

We derive quantitative bounds in the Wasserstein distance for the approximation of stochastic integrals with respect to Hawkes processes by a normally distributed random variable. In the case of deterministic and non-negative integrands,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Mahmoud Khabou , Nicolas Privault , Anthony Reveillac

We prove a functional central limit theorem for partial sums of symmetric stationary long range dependent heavy tailed infinitely divisible processes with a certain type of negative dependence. Previously only positive dependence could be…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Paul Jung , Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The objective of this study is to investigate the limiting behavior of a subgraph counting process. The subgraph counting process we consider counts the number of subgraphs having a specific shape that exist outside an expanding ball as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Takashi Owada

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes whose intensity depends on the past history, and is in general non-Markovian. Limit theorems for Hawkes processes in various asymptotic regimes have been studied in the literature. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We prove a functional limit theorem for a pair of nearly unstable Hawkes processes coupled through a triangular cross-excitation mechanism, when the two kernels have distinct heavy-tail exponents. This heterogeneous regime produces two…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Sohaib El Karmi

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

In this work, we establish a Trotter-Kato type theorem. More precisely, we characterize the convergence in distribution of Feller processes by examining the convergence of their generators. The main novelty lies in providing quantitative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Dirk Erhard , Tertuliano Franco , Milton Jara , Eduardo Pimenta

Motivated by applications to the study of depth functions for tree-indexed random variables generated by point processes, we describe functional limit theorems for the intensity measure of point processes. Specifically, we establish uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

The main result of this paper is a functional limit theorem for the sine-process. In particular, we study the limit distribution, in the space of trajectories, for the number of particles in a growing interval. The sine-process has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov

We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

In this paper we study the frequentist properties of Bayesian approaches in linear high dimensional Hawkes processes in a sparse regime where the number of interaction functions acting on each component of the Hawkes process is much smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Judith Rousseau , Vincent Rivoirard , Déborah Sulem

We obtain the empirical strong law of large numbers, empirical Glivenko-Cantelli theorem, central limit theorem, functional central limit theorem for various nonparametric Bayesian priors which include the Dirichlet process with general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Yaozhong Hu , Junxi Zhang

Many fits of Hawkes processes to financial data look rather good but most of them are not statistically significant. This raises the question of what part of market dynamics this model is able to account for exactly. We document the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-24 Mehdi Lallouache , Damien Challet

We establish the weak convergence of the intensity of a nearly-unstable Hawkes process with heavy-tailed kernel. Our result is used to derive a scaling limit for a financial market model where orders to buy or sell an asset arrive according…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu , Rouyi Zhang

Driven by the recent surge in neural-inspired modeling, point processes have gained significant traction in systems and control. While the Hawkes process is the standard model for characterizing random event sequences with memory,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Xinhui Rong , Girish N. Nair

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of suitably time-modulated Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed kernels in a nearly unstable regime. We show that, under appropriate scaling, both the intensity processes and the rescaled Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

Continuous Time Markov Chains, Hawkes processes and many other interesting processes can be described as solution of stochastic differential equations driven by Poisson measures. Previous works, using the Stein's method, give the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Eustache Besançon , Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

We survey some geometrical properties of trajectories of $d$-dimensional random walks via the application of functional limit theorems. We focus on the functional law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem (Donsker's…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Chak Hei Lo , James McRedmond , Clare Wallace