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Related papers: Functional Limit Theorems for Hawkes Processes

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We investigate the asymptotic behavior as time goes to infinity of Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm close to one and power law tail of the form $x^{-(1+\alpha)}$, with $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We in particular prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We establish limit theorems involving weak convergence of multiple generations of critical and supercritical branching processes. These results arise naturally when dealing with the joint asymptotic behavior of functionals defined in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-25 James Kuelbs , Anand N. Vidyashankar

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes. Specifically, we construct general compound Hawkes processes and investigate their properties in limit order books. With regards to these general compound Hawkes processes, we prove a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Aiden Huffman

In this paper, we establish general scaling limits for nearly unstable Hawkes processes in a mean-field regime by extending the method introduced by Jaisson and Rosenbaum. Under a mild asymptotic criticality condition on the self-exciting…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Grégoire Szymanski , Wei Xu

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

This paper is devoted to establishing the full scaling limit theorems for multivariate Hawkes processes. Under some mild conditions on the exciting kernels, we develop a new way to prove that after a suitable time-spatial scaling, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Wei Xu

We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be…

In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes, namely, so-called general compound and regime-switching general compound Hawkes processes to model the price processes in the limit order books. We prove Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-29 Anatoliy Swishchuk

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

This paper establishes a functional law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for marked Hawkes point measures and their corresponding shot noise processes. We prove that the normalized random measure can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

We generalize multivariate Hawkes processes mainly by including a dependence with respect to the age of the process, i.e. the delay since the last point. Within this class, we investigate the limit behaviour, when n goes to infinity, of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Julien Chevallier

We study the asymptotic properties of the solutions of a nonlinear renewal equation. The main contribution of the present article is to provide stability and convergence results around equilibrium solutions, under some local subcritical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon

This paper focuses on limit theorems for linear Hawkes processes with random marks. We prove a large deviation principle, which answers the question raised by Bordenave and Torrisi. A central limit theorem is also obtained. We conclude with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Dmytro Karabash , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we derive an explicit upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between a functional of point processes and a Gaussian distribution. Using Stein's method in conjunction with Malliavin's calculus and the Poisson embedding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

For a joint model-based and design-based inference, we establish functional central limit theorems for the Horvitz-Thompson empirical process and the H\'ajek empirical process centered by their finite population mean as well as by their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Hélène Boistard , Hendrik P. Lopuhaä , Anne Ruiz-Gazen

The Hawkes process is a class of point processes whose future depends on their own history. Previous theoretical work on the Hawkes process is limited to a special case in which a past event can only increase the occurrence of future…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Shizhe Chen , Ali Shojaie , Eric Shea-Brown , Daniela Witten

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari