Normal approximation of Functionals of Point Processes: Application to Hawkes Processes
Probability
2025-06-09 v2
Abstract
In this paper, we derive an explicit upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between a functional of point processes and a Gaussian distribution. Using Stein's method in conjunction with Malliavin's calculus and the Poisson embedding representation, our result applies to a variety of point processes including discrete and continuous Hawkes processes. In particular, we establish an explicit convergence rate for stable continuous non-linear Hawkes processes and for discrete Hawkes processes. Finally, we obtain an upper bound in the context of nearly unstable Hawkes processes.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2407.19806,
title = {Normal approximation of Functionals of Point Processes: Application to Hawkes Processes},
author = {Laure Coutin and Benjamin Massat and Anthony Réveillac},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.19806},
year = {2025}
}