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Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Emerging infectious diseases and climate change are two of the major challenges in 21st century. Although over the past decades, highly-resolved mathematical models have contributed in understanding dynamics of infectious diseases and are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-13 Julia Bicker , René Schmieding , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Martin J. Kühn

Confinement is a ubiquitous mechanism in nature, whereby particles feel an attractive force that increases without bound as they separate. A prominent example is color confinement in particle physics, in which baryons and mesons are…

Protecting interventions of many types (both pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical) can be deployed against the spreading of a communicable disease, as the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically shown. Here we investigate in detail…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-14 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano

We consider the $SEIRS$ epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Jaroslav Ilnytskyi , Taras Patsahan

Conventional distributed approaches to coverage control may suffer from lack of convergence and poor performance, due to the fact that agents have limited information, especially in non-convex discrete environments. To address this issue,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Tatsuya Iwase , Aurélie Beynier , Nicolas Bredeche , Nicolas Maudet , Jason R. Marden

The infectious diseases are spreading due to human interactions enabled by various social networks. Therefore, when a new pathogen such as SARS-CoV-2 causes an outbreak, the non-pharmaceutical isolation strategies (e.g., social distancing)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-20 Alexandru Topirceanu , Mihai Udrescu , Radu Marculescu

The challenges posed by epidemics and pandemics are immense, especially if the causes are novel. This article introduces a versatile open-source simulation framework designed to model intricate dynamics of infectious diseases across diverse…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Zenin Easa Panthakkalakath , Neeraj , Jimson Mathew

We examine here the effects of recurrent vaccination and waning immunity on the establishment of an endemic equilibrium in a population. An individual-based model that incorporates memory effects for transmission rate during infection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Arthur Charpentier , Hélène Guérin

Clinical trials of a vaccine during an epidemic face particular challenges, such as the pressure to identify an effective vaccine quickly to control the epidemic, and the effect that time-space-varying infection incidence has on the power…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Rob Johnson , Chris Jackson , Anne Presanis , Sofia S. Villar , Daniela De Angelis

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

This study presents a mathematical model for optimal vaccination strategies in interconnected metropolitan areas, considering commuting patterns. It is a compartmental model with a vaccination rate for each city, acting as a control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-29 Lucas Machado Moschen , María Soledad Aronna

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-12 Nuno Crokidakis , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

The year 2020 has seen the COVID-19 virus lead to one of the worst global pandemics in history. As a result, governments around the world are faced with the challenge of protecting public health, while keeping the economy running to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Varun Kompella , Roberto Capobianco , Stacy Jong , Jonathan Browne , Spencer Fox , Lauren Meyers , Peter Wurman , Peter Stone

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

We introduce a system of differential equations to assess the impact of (self-)quarantine of symptomatic infectious individuals on disease dynamics. To this end we depart from using the classic bilinear infection process, but remain still…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-03 Jozsef Z. Farkas , Roxane Chatzopoulos

Vaccination is an important measure available for preventing or reducing the spread of infectious diseases. In this paper, an epidemic model including susceptible, infected, and imperfectly vaccinated compartments is studied on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu , Tao Zhou