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Related papers: Reduced seismic activity after mega earthquakes

200 papers

Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the probable location of future seismicity". As an alternative, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

We proceeded from general physical concepts based, on the one hand, on the Umoff-Poynting theorem, and on the other, on the phenomenological theory of earthquakes, and formulated the following question: What are the directions of energy…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

During any unique crisis, panic sell-off leads to a massive stock market crash that may continue for more than a day, termed as mainshock. The effect of a mainshock in the form of aftershocks can be felt throughout the recovery phase of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-18 Anish Rai , Ajit Mahata , Md Nurujjaman , Om Prakash

A megathrust subduction earthquake (Mw7.8) struck the coast of Ecuador on April 16th, 2016 at 23h58 UTC. This earthquake is one of the best-recorded megathrust events up to date. Besides the mainshock, two large aftershocks have been…

We show that Bak et al.'s unified scaling law cannot be trivially explained by a single Omori aftershock sequence. On the contrary, the spatial heterogeneity of seismicity plays a fundamental role in the unified scaling law, which implies…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Alvaro Corral , Kim Christensen

Earthquakes are indeed triggered by fault dislocations, but whether this process alone can produce the actual earthquake energy released by the mainshock has long been questioned. Therefore, exploring the true source of energy that causes…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-02-24 Xiaoping Mao , Xueqiang Zhang , Yuci Su , Ke Mao , Pengyu Lu , Fei Zhang

Despite the importance of predicting evacuation mobility dynamics after large scale disasters for effective first response and disaster relief, our general understanding of evacuation behavior remains limited because of the lack of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Takahiro Yabe , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Kota Tsubouchi , Satoshi Ikemoto

``Remote triggering" refers to the inducement of earthquakes by weak perturbations that emanate from far away sources, typically intense earthquakes that happen at much larger distances than their nearby aftershocks, sometimes even around…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-13 Harish Charan , Anna Pomyalov , Itamar Procaccia

Following Hergarten and Neugebauer [2002] who discovered aftershock and foreshock sequences in the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) discrete block-spring earthquake model, we investigate to what degree the simple toppling mechanism of this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Helmstetter , S. Hergarten , D. Sornette

Xu et al. [J. Asian Earth Sci. {\bf 77}, 59-65 (2013)] It has just been reported that approximately 2 months prior to the $M_w$9.0 Tohoku earthquake that occurred in Japan on 11 March 2011 anomalous variations of the geomagnetic field have…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-04-25 E. S Skordas , N. V. Sarlis

Earthquakes in seismological catalogs and acoustic emission events in lab experiments can be statistically described as a linear Hawkes point process, where the spatio-temporal rate of events is a linear superposition of background…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-05-05 Jordi Baró

It has been observed that the earthquake events possess short-term memory, i.e. that events occurring in a particular location are dependent on the short history of that location. We conduct an analysis to see whether real-time earthquake…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Zeyu Zheng , Kazuko Yamasaki , Joel Tenenbaum , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using observable seismic data, in which probabilities of future large earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-24 Ian Baughman , John B Rundle , Tianjin Zhang

It had been observed by Linkov, Petrova and Osipov (1992) that there exist periodic 4-6 hours pulses of 200 microHz seismogravitational oscillations ( SGO ) before 95 % of powerful earthquakes. We explain this by beating between an…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-10-13 V. V. Flambaum , B. S. Pavlov

We analyze 21 aftershock sequences of California to test for evidence of space-time diffusion. Aftershock diffusion may result from stress diffusion and is also predicted by any mechanism of stress weakening. Here, we test an alternative…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

The 29 July 2025 Kamchatka earthquake, of magnitude M8.8 in the Kamchatka-Kuril subduction system, provides a unique opportunity to investigate the preparatory processes of a great subduction event. Despite Kamchatka's high seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-20 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Yazbeck , I. T. Baughman , J. B. Rundle

The recently proposed discrete scale invariance and its associated log-periodicity are an elaboration of the concept of scale invariance in which the system is scale invariant only under powers of specific values of the magnification…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Y. Huang , A. Johansen , M. W. Lee , H. Saleur , D. Sornette

The interevent time distribution characterizes the temporal occurrence in seismic catalogs. Universal scaling properties of this distribution have been evidenced for entire catalogs and seismic sequences. Recently, these universal features…