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Related papers: Reduced seismic activity after mega earthquakes

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Numerical simulations and a mean-field analysis of a sandpile model of earthquake aftershocks in 1d, 2d and 3d euclidean lattices determine that the average stress decays in a punctuated fashion after a main shock, with events occurring at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. W. Lee , D. Sornette

During the last twenty years, a number of publications of theoretical-numerical nature have appeared which come to the apparently-reassuring conclusion that seismic motion on the ground in cities is smaller than what this motion would be in…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-01 Armand Wirgin

In this study, we propose an analysis of the earthquake clusters that occurred in North-Eastern Italy and western Slovenia from 1977 to today. Given a mainshock generating alarm in the population, we are interested in forecasting if a…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-05-27 S. Gentili , R. Di Giovambattista

We study the statistical properties of time distribution of seimicity in California by means of a new method of analysis, the Diffusion Entropy. We find that the distribution of time intervals between a large earthquake (the main shock of a…

We study the cascading dynamics immediately before and immediately after 219 market shocks. We define the time of a market shock T_{c} to be the time for which the market volatility V(T_{c}) has a peak that exceeds a predetermined…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-05 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

The conditional intensity function of a point process is a useful tool for generating probability forecasts of earthquakes. The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is defined by a conditional intensity function, and the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-08 Takao Kumazawa , Yosihiko Ogata

The behavior of seismicity in the area candidate to suffer a main shock is investigated after the observation of the Seismic Electric Signal activity until the impending mainshock. This makes use of the concept of natural time $\chi$ and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , M. S. Lazaridou , P. A. Varotsos

It is natural to call the trinity of foreshocks, main shock and aftershocks a classical triad. The magnitude of the main shock is always greater than the maximum magnitudes of foreshocks and aftershocks. In the classical triad, the number…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-13 O. D. Zotov , A. V. Guglielmi

The known Omori law is presented in the form of differential equation that describes the evolution of the aftershock activity. This equation is derived hypothetically with taking into account deactivation of the faults in epicentral zone of…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-04-26 Anatol V. Guglielmi

The statistical property of the calm times, i.e., time intervals between successive earthquakes with arbitrary values of magnitude, is studied by analyzing the seismic time series data in California and Japan. It is found that the calm…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

The Multifractal Stress-Activated (MSA) model is a statistical model of triggered seismicity based on mechanical and thermodynamic principles. It predicts that, above a triggering magnitude cut-off $M_0$, the exponent $p$ of the Omori law…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-06-13 G. Ouillon , E. Ribeiro , D. Sornette

A review of the statistical properties of earthquakes is provided, centered mainly in the work of the author (apologies for that). We explain the scaling law for the recurrence-time distributions, its universal character for stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Alvaro Corral

According to some recent analysis (M. Baiesi and M. Paczuski, Phys. Rev. E {\bf 69}, 066106, 2004 \cite{maya1}) of earthquake data, aftershock epicenters can be considered to represent the nodes of a network where the linking scheme depends…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kamalika Basu Hajra , Parongama Sen

Recently, the physics of aftershocks has been enriched by three new problems. We will conditionally call them dynamic, inverse, and morphological problems. Dynamic problem is to search for the cumulative effect of a round-the-world seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-30 Anatol V. Guglielmi , Alexey D. Zavyalov , Oleg D. Zotov

Declustering aims to divide earthquake catalogs into independent events (mainshocks), and dependent (clustered) events, and is an integral component of many seismicity studies, including seismic hazard assessment. We assess the effect of…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-02-17 Leila Mizrahi , Shyam Nandan , Stefan Wiemer

The role of the moon in triggering earthquakes has been studied since the early 1900s. Theory states that as land tides swept by the moon cross fault lines, stress in the Earth's plates intensifies, increasing the likelihood of small…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-10-10 Lyndie Chiou

It has been long stated that there are profound analogies between fracture experiments and earthquakes; however, few works attempt a complete characterization of the parallelisms between these so separate phenomena. We study the Acoustic…

Point processes have been dominant in modeling the evolution of seismicity for decades, with the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model being most popular. Recent advances in machine learning have constructed highly flexible point…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-04 Samuel Stockman , Daniel J. Lawson , Maximilian J. Werner

By analyzing a southern California earthquake catalog, Davidsen and Paczuski [Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 048501 (2005)] claim to have found evidence contradicting the theory of aftershock zone scaling in favor of scale-free statistics. We present…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

Statistical properties of earthquakes are studied both by the analysis of real earthquake catalog of Japan and by numerical computer simulations of the spring-block model in both one and two dimensions. Particular attention is paid to the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2012-01-27 Hikaru Kawamura