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Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

The availability of reliable, high-resolution climate and weather data is important to inform long-term decisions on climate adaptation and mitigation and to guide rapid responses to extreme events. Forecasting models are limited by…

A data-driven algorithm is proposed that employs sparse data from velocity and/or scalar sensors to forecast the future evolution of three dimensional turbulent flows. The algorithm combines time-delayed embedding together with Koopman…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-04 George Papadakis , Shengqi Lu

In this computational paper, we perform sensitivity analysis of long-time (or ensemble) averages in the chaotic regime using the shadowing algorithm. We introduce automatic differentiation to eliminate the tangent/adjoint equation solvers…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Nisha Chandramoorthy , Luca Magri , Qiqi Wang

Analysing two-dimensional shallow water equations with idealised bottom topographies have many applications in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences; however, restrictive flow pattern assumptions have been made to achieve explicit solutions.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-01 Chang Liu , Antwan D. Clark

Data Assimilation is a cornerstone of atmospheric system modeling, tasked with reconstructing system states by integrating sparse, noisy observations with prior estimation. While traditional approaches like variational and ensemble Kalman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Hao Wang , Zixuan Weng , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Hao Liu

Wind speed retrieval at sea surface is of primary importance for scientific and operational applications. Besides weather models, in-situ measurements and remote sensing technologies, especially satellite sensors, provide complementary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Matteo Zambra , Dorian Cazau , Nicolas Farrugia , Alexandre Gensse , Sara Pensieri , Roberto Bozzano , Ronan Fablet

Lagrangian data assimilation exploits the trajectories of moving tracers as observations to recover the underlying flow field. One major challenge in Lagrangian data assimilation is the intrinsic nonlinearity that impedes using exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu

As the severity and occurrence of flood events tend to intensify with climate change, the need for flood forecasting capability increases. In this regard, the Flood Detection, Alert and rapid Mapping (FloodDAM) project, funded by Space for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Gwendoline Blanchet , Santiago Pena Luque , Simon Baillarin

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

We present an efficient computational framework to quantify the impact of individual observations in four dimensional variational data assimilation. The proposed methodology uses first and second order adjoint sensitivity analysis, together…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-07-22 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu

This paper considers a class of real-time decision making problems to minimize the expected value of a function that depends on a random variable $\xi$ under an unknown distribution $\mathbb{P}$. In this process, samples of $\xi$ are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

Flash floods in urban areas occur with increasing frequency. Detecting these floods would greatlyhelp alleviate human and economic losses. However, current flood prediction methods are eithertoo slow or too simplified to capture the flood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-28 Kun Qian , Abduallah Mohamed , Christian Claudel

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Modern techniques for physical simulations rely on numerical schemes and mesh-refinement methods to address trade-offs between precision and complexity, but these handcrafted solutions are tedious and require high computational power.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Janny Steeven , Nadri Madiha , Digne Julie , Wolf Christian

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

The requirements of modern sensing are rapidly evolving, driven by increasing demands for data efficiency, real-time processing, and deployment under limited sensing coverage. Complex physical systems are often characterized through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Yuxuan Bao , J. Nathan Kutz

Model reduction for fluid flow simulation continues to be of great interest across a number of scientific and engineering fields. Here, we explore the use of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations, a recently introduced family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Sourav Dutta , Peter Rivera-Casillas , Matthew W. Farthing

Using a very cheap Data Assimilation (DA) method, I show an alternative approach to classical DA for numerical climate models which produce a large amount of "big data". The problematic features of state-of-the-art high resolution Regional…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-12 Bijan Fallah

Data assimilation (DA) combines model forecasts and observations to estimate the optimal state of the atmosphere with its uncertainty, providing initial conditions for weather prediction and reanalyses for climate research. Yet, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hang Fan , Juan Nathaniel , Yi Xiao , Ce Bian , Fenghua Ling , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Pierre Gentine