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Accurate short-term streamflow and flood forecasting are critical for mitigating river flood impacts, especially given the increasing climate variability. Machine learning-based streamflow forecasting relies on large streamflow datasets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Xiyu Pan , Neda Mohammadi , John E. Taylor

Data assimilation for parameter and state estimation in subsurface transport problems remains a significant challenge due to the sparsity of measurements, the heterogeneity of porous media, and the high computational cost of forward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 QiZhi He , David Brajas-Solano , Guzel Tartakovsky , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

In this paper, we introduce a new, local formulation of the ensemble Kalman Filter approach for atmospheric data assimilation. Our scheme is based on the hypothesis that, when the Earth's surface is divided up into local regions of moderate…

Data assimilation combines (imperfect) knowledge of a flow's physical laws with (noisy, time-lagged, and otherwise imperfect) observations to produce a more accurate prediction of flow statistics. Assimilation by nudging (from 1964), while…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang , William Layton , Farjana Siddiqua

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

There has been a recent surge in development of accurate machine learning (ML) weather prediction models, but evaluation of these models has mainly been focused on medium-range forecasts, not their performance in cycling data assimilation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Laura C. Slivinski , Jeffrey S. Whitaker , Sergey Frolov , Timothy A. Smith , Niraj Agarwal

In this effort we propose a data-driven learning framework for reduced order modeling of fluid dynamics. Designing accurate and efficient reduced order models for nonlinear fluid dynamic problems is challenging for many practical…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-12-05 Xuping Xie , Guannan Zhang , Clayton G. Webster

This paper presents a more stable implementation and a highly accurate numerical tool for predicting flooding in urban areas. We started with the (linearised) well-posedness analysis by [1], where far-field boundary conditions were proposed…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Reindorf N. Borkor , Magnus Svard , Adu Sakyi , Peter Amoako-Yirenkyi

Variational data assimilation in continuous time is revisited. The central techniques applied in this paper are in part adopted from the theory of optimal nonlinear control. Alternatively, the investigated approach can be considered as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jochen Bröcker

Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…

This paper introduces a novel anomaly detection framework that combines the robust statistical principles of density-estimation-based anomaly detection methods with the representation-learning capabilities of deep learning models. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Joseph Gallego-Mejia , Oscar Bustos-Brinez , Fabio A. González

This chapter describes a novel approach for the treatment of model error in geophysical data assimilation. In this method, model error is treated as a deterministic process fully correlated in time. This allows for the derivation of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-11-11 Alberto Carrassi , Stéphane Vannitsem

Data-driven reduced-order models of the dynamics of complex flows are important for tasks related to design, understanding, prediction, and control. Many flows obey symmetries, and the present work illustrates how these can be exploited to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Carlos E. Pérez De Jesús , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Marine biogeochemistry models are critical for forecasting, as well as estimating ecosystem responses to climate change and human activities. Data assimilation (DA) improves these models by aligning them with real-world observations, but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Ieuan Higgs , Ross Bannister , Jozef Skákala , Alberto Carrassi , Stefano Ciavatta

This paper provides a detailed theoretical analysis of methods to approximate the solutions of high-dimensional (>10^6) linear Bayesian problems. An optimal low-rank projection that maximizes the information content of the Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-28 Nicolas Bousserez , Daven K. Henze

This paper considers a class of real-time stochastic optimization problems dependent on an unknown probability distribution. In the considered scenario, data is streaming frequently while trying to reach a decision. Thus, we aim to devise a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

This work studies reduced order modeling (ROM) approaches to speed up the solution of variational data assimilation problems with large scale nonlinear dynamical models. It is shown that a key requirement for a successful reduced order…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Răzvan Ştefănescu , Adrian Sandu , Ionel Michael Navon

Various types of measurement techniques, such as Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) devices, anemometers, and wind vanes, are extensively utilized in wind energy to characterize the inflow. However, these methods typically gather data at…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-13 Chang Yan , Shengfeng Xu , Zhenxu Sun , Thorsten Lutz , Dilong Guo , Guowei Yang

Methods to solve the relativistic hydrodynamic equations are a key computational kernel in a large number of astrophysics simulations and are crucial to understanding the electromagnetic signals that originate from the merger of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-02 Jackson DeBuhr , Bo Zhang , Matthew Anderson , David Neilsen , Eric W. Hirschmann
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