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An important family of stochastic processes arising in many areas of applied probability is the class of L\'evy processes. Generally, such processes are not simulatable especially for those with infinite activity. In practice, it is common…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 M. Ben Alaya , K. Hajji , A. Kebaier

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

This work contains two single-letter upper bounds on the entropy rate of a discrete-valued stationary stochastic process, which only depend on second-order statistics, and are primarily suitable for models which consist of relatively large…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Ran Tamir

Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a random walk on an expander, confirming a conjecture due to Wigderson and Xiao. Our proof is based on a new multi-matrix extension of the Golden-Thompson…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Ankit Garg , Yin Tat Lee , Zhao Song , Nikhil Srivastava

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

In this note, we revisit the recent work of Diakonikolas, Gouleakis, Kane, Peebles, and Price (2021), and provide an alternative proof of their main result. Our argument does not rely on any specific property of Poisson random variables…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Clément L. Canonne , Yucheng Sun

We explain theoretically a curious empirical phenomenon: "Approximating a matrix by deterministically selecting a subset of its columns with the corresponding largest leverage scores results in a good low-rank matrix surrogate". To obtain…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-04 Dimitris Papailiopoulos , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Christos Boutsidis

McFadden and Richter (1991) and later McFadden (2005) show that the Axiom of Revealed Stochastic Preference characterizes rationalizability of choice probabilities through random utility models on finite universal choice spaces. This note…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-02-21 Jörg Stoye

We study the problem of estimating multivariate log-concave probability density functions. We prove the first sample complexity upper bound for learning log-concave densities on $\mathbb{R}^d$, for all $d \geq 1$. Prior to our work, no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-07 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

Let $\pi_n$ be a uniformly chosen random permutation on $[n]$. Using an analysis of the probability that two overlapping consecutive $k$-permutations are order isomorphic, the authors of a recent paper showed that the expected number of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Anant Godbole , Hannah Swickheimer

Bootstrap is a useful tool for making statistical inference, but it may provide erroneous results under complex survey sampling. Most studies about bootstrap-based inference are developed under simple random sampling and stratified random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Zhonglei Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Liuhua Peng

Large deviation theory has provided important clues for the choice of importance sampling measures for Monte Carlo evaluation of exceedance probabilities. However, Glasserman and Wang [Ann. Appl. Probab. 7 (1997) 731--746] have given…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

We consider the problem of estimating the spectrum of a symmetric bounded entry (not necessarily PSD) matrix via entrywise sampling. This problem was introduced by [Bhattacharjee, Dexter, Drineas, Musco, Ray '22], where it was shown that…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-06 William Swartworth , David P. Woodruff

Consider a subset of positive integers $S$. In this paper, we reduce the upper bound on the length of a minimum program that enumerates $S$ in terms of the probability of $S$ being enumerated by a random program. So far, the best-known…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Alexander Shekhovtsov , Georgii Zakharov

Although the study of weak convergence of superpositions of point processes to the Poisson process dates back to the work of Grigelionis in 1963, it was only recently that Schuhmacher [Stochastic Process. Appl. 115 (2005) 1819--1837]…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-10 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

In the present paper we prove a family of tight upper and lower bounds for the Shannon entropy and von Neumann entropy based on the p-norms. This allows us to have an entropy estimate, a criterion for the finiteness of it and a bound on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Juan Pablo Lopez

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

We consider the problem of identifying the parameters of an unknown mixture of two arbitrary $d$-dimensional gaussians from a sequence of independent random samples. Our main results are upper and lower bounds giving a computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Moritz Hardt , Eric Price