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Modelling wildfire occurrences is important for disaster management including prevention, detection and suppression of large catastrophic events. We present a spatial Poisson hurdle model for exploring geographical variation of monthly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-02 Justin A. Kasin , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

The use of data-driven decision support by public agencies is becoming more widespread and already influences the allocation of public resources. This raises ethical concerns, as it has adversely affected minorities and historically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Sebastian Scher , Simone Kopeinik , Andreas Trügler , Dominik Kowald

This paper presents quasi-experimental research examining the effect of both local and state anti-discrimination laws on sexual orientation on the labor supply and wages of lesbian, gay, and bisexual (LGB) workers. To do so, we use the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-21 Scott Delhommer , Domonkos F. Vamossy

This paper examines the impact of increasing minimum wages, focusing primarily on their effect on employment. Our research involved analyzing the statistics of panel data, testing fixed effects and stationary, conducting linear regression,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-26 Junhan Lyu , Tianle Zhai , Zicheng Peng , Xuhang Huang

Wildland fire smoke exposures are an increasing threat to public health, and thus there is a growing need for studying the effects of protective behaviors on reducing health outcomes. Emerging smartphone applications provide unprecedented…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Lili Wu , Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich , Ana G. Rappold

This paper examines the effects of U.S. presidential election cycles on sectoral stock markets. Using a high-frequency identification approach, I construct a novel "election shock'' series, which captures exogenous surprises in election…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-17 Aaron J. Amburgey

Estimating the effects of climate on economic output is crucial for formulating climate policy, but current empirical findings remain ambiguous. Using annual panel model and panel long-difference model with global subnational data from…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-26 Jinchi Dong , Richard S. J. Tol , Jinnan Wang

Extreme wildfires are a significant cause of human death and biodiversity destruction within countries that encompass the Mediterranean Basin. Recent worrying trends in wildfire activity (i.e., occurrence and spread) suggest that wildfires…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , Emanuele Bevacqua , Jakob Zscheischler

Reliable estimates of indirect economic losses arising from natural disasters are currently out of scientific reach. To address this problem, we propose a novel approach that combines a probabilistic physical damage catastrophe model with a…

Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

Accurate quantification of the relationship between forest loss and associated carbon emissions is critical for both environmental monitoring and policy evaluation. Although many studies have documented spatial patterns of forest…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Keonvin Park

We study the dynamics of correlation and variance in systems under the load of environmental factors. A universal effect in ensembles of similar systems under the load of similar factors is described: in crisis, typically, even before…

Biological Physics · Physics 2010-08-27 A. N. Gorban , E. V. Smirnova , T. A. Tyukina

Climate-related phenomena are increasingly affecting regions worldwide, manifesting as floods, water scarcity, and heat waves, significantly impairing companies' assets and productivity. It is essential for asset managers to quantify the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Michele Azzone , Matteo Ghesini , Davide Stocco , Lorenzo Viola

This study investigates the causal relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and wage levels, aiming to provide a quantified assessment of the impact. While no significant evidence is found for long-term effects, the analysis reveals a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-16 Bo Wu

Identifying the causal effects of socioeconomic determinants on population health is of many great interests - from statistical methodology development to public health practitioners and policy developments. The statistical side of the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-01 Ranadeep Daw , Hunter Evans , Indrabati Bhattacharya

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

Although employment web sites have recently become the main source for re- cruitment and selection process, the relation between those sites and unemploy- ment rates is seldom addressed. Deriving data from 32 countries and 427 web sites,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-11 M. Lutfi Arslan , Sadi Evren Seker

Wildfire events have caused severe losses in many places around the world and are expected to increase with climate change. Throughout the years many technologies have been developed to identify fire events early on and to simulate fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

Labor unions influence economic outcomes not only through bargaining with employers over work contracts but also via political activities that can profoundly shape political systems. In unionized workplaces, they may mobilize and change the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Johannes Matzat , Aiko Schmeißer

The complex relationship between climate shocks, migration, and adaptation hampers a rigorous understanding of the heterogeneous mobility outcomes of farm households exposed to climate risk. To unpack this heterogeneity, the analysis…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-15 Marco Letta , Pierluigi Montalbano , Adriana Paolantonio