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Using a Taylor rule amended with official reserves movements, we derive country-specific monetary shocks and employ a local projections-estimator for tracking gender-disaggregated labor-market responses in 99 developing economies from 2009…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-09 Marjan Petreski , Stefan Tanevski , Alejandro D. Jacobo

Climate change is altering the frequency and intensity of wildfires, leading to increased evacuation events that disrupt human mobility and socioeconomic structures. These disruptions affect access to resources, employment, and housing,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-10 Timur Naushirvanov , Erick Elejalde , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Elisa Omodei , Márton Karsai , Leo Ferres

I study the dynamic, general equilibrium implications of climate-change-linked transition risk on macroeconomic outcomes and asset prices. Climate-change-linked expectations of fossil fuel restrictions can produce a ``run on fossil fuels''…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-02 Michael Barnett

This paper investigates how market competition influences poverty dynamics using a functional econometric framework that captures both contemporaneous and lagged effects. Using annual data for 48 countries from 1991-2017, we estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Mohamed Chaouch , Thanasis Stengos

We use daily longitudinal data and a within-worker identification approach to examine the impacts of heat on labor force dynamics in Australia. High temperatures during 2001-2019 significantly reduced work attendance and hours worked, which…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-26 Andrew Ireland , David Johnston , Rachel Knott

Across plant communities worldwide, fire regimes reflect a combination of climatic factors and plant characteristics. To shed new light on the complex relationships between plant characteristics and fire regimes, we developed a new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-18 Marta Magnani , Rubén Díaz-Sierra , Luke Sweeney , Antonello Provenzale , Mara Baudena

In this paper, we explore the relationship between state-level household income inequality and macroeconomic uncertainty in the United States. Using a novel large-scale macroeconometric model, we shed light on regional disparities of…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-06-22 Manfred M. Fischer , Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

This paper assesses the global employment and trade effects of renewed tariff escalation following the reintroduction of the United States' America First strategy in 2025. Using a multiregional input-output (MRIO) framework integrated with…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-15 Michelena Gabriel , Ernst Christoph , Pablo Bertin

In order to explore whether environmental liability insurance has an important impact on industrial emission reduction, this paper selects provincial (city) level panel data from 2010 to 2020 and constructs a two-way fixed effect model to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-20 Bo Wu

In the United States, firearm-related deaths and injuries are a major public health issue. Because of limited federal action, state policies are particularly important, and their evaluation informs the actions of other policymakers. The…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-17 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer , Alan Hamilton Kennedy

Public perceptions of climate change arguably contribute to shaping private adaptation and support for policy intervention. In this paper, we propose a novel Climate Concern Index (CCI), based on disaggregated web-search volumes related to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-09 Giovanni Angelini , Maria Elena Bontempi , Luca De Angelis , Paolo Neri , Marco Maria Sorge

Remote sensing techniques have been used effectively for measuring the overall loss of terrestrial ecosystem production and biodiversity due to the forest fire. The current research focuses on assessing the impact of forest fire severity on…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-05 Srikanta Sannigrahi , Sandeep Bhatt , Shahid Rahmat , Virendra Rana , Suman Chakraborti

In this paper, we survey recent econometric contributions to measure the relationship between economic activity and climate change. Due to the critical relevance of these effects for the well-being of future generations, there is an…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-16 Aránzazu de Juan , Pilar Poncela , Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero , Esther Ruiz

Estimating the causal effect of fertility on women's employment is challenging because fertility and labor decisions are jointly determined. The difficulty is amplified in low- and middle-income countries, where longitudinal data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Lucas Godoy Garraza , Leontine Alkema

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

Wildfires cause major losses worldwide, and the frequency of fire-weather conditions is likely to increase in many regions. We study the allocation of suppression resources over time on a graph-based representation of a landscape to slow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Gustavo Delazeri , Marcus Ritt

This paper develops a geospatial framework for climate risk stress testing in California with applications to banking and climate-exposed sectors such as agriculture, real estate, and tourism. The study integrates physical hazard mapping,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Satya Narayana Panda , Aishworzo Saha

We propose a framework to examine future migration patterns of people under different sea level rise scenarios using models of human migration. Specifically, we couple a sea level rise model with a data-driven model of human migration,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-08-17 Caleb Robinson , Bistra Dilkina , Juan Moreno-Cruz

In recent years, human mobility research has discovered universal patterns capable of describing how people move. These regularities have been shown to partly depend on individual and environmental characteristics (e.g., gender,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-18 Simone Centellegher , Marco De Nadai , Marco Tonin , Bruno Lepri , Lorenzo Lucchini

Understanding the role of vegetation fires in the Earth system has become an important environmental problem. Although fires time occurrence is mainly influenced by climate, human activity related with land use and management has altered…

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