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This paper analyzes the macroeconomic consequences of military spending and militarization within a dynamic growth framework. Building on a Keynesian goods-market model, we examine how the allocation of government expenditure between…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-26 Arpan Chakraborty

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a massive economic shock across the world due to business interruptions and shutdowns from social-distancing measures. To evaluate the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 on individuals, a micro-economic model…

General Economics · Economics 2020-08-06 Amory Martin , Maryia Markhvida , Stéphane Hallegatte , Brian Walsh

This paper develops a new framework to analyze the incidence of labor market shocks, focusing on automation and artificial intelligence. Central to our theory is the distance-dependent elasticity of substitution (DIDES), where worker…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-04 Tianyu Fan

This paper highlights the potential for negative dynamic consequences of recent trends towards the formation of "skill-hubs". I first show evidence that skill acquisition is biased towards skills which are in demand in local labor markets.…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-09 Benjamin Niswonger

In this paper, we use a newly constructed dataset to study the geographic distribution of fuel price across the US at a very high resolution. We study the influence of socio-economic variables through different and complementary statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-22 Antonin Bergeaud , Juste Raimbault

The objective of the present study is twofold. First, the last developments and validation results of a hybrid model designed to simulate fire patterns in heterogeneous landscapes are presented. The model combines the features of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-08 Mohamed Drissi

Social vulnerability is the susceptibility of a community to be adversely impacted by natural hazards and public health emergencies, such as drought, earthquakes, flooding, virus outbreaks, and the like. Climate change is at the root of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Darius Coelho , Nikita Gupta , Eric Papenhausen , Klaus Mueller

Natural disasters, such as tornadoes, floods, and wildfire pose risks to life and property, requiring the intervention of insurance corporations. One of the most visible consequences of changing climate is an increase in the intensity and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Thilini V. Mahanama , Abootaleb Shirvani

Post-pandemic world has thrown up several challenges, such as, high inflation, low growth, high debt, collapse of economies, political instability, job losses, lowering of income in addition to damages caused natural disasters, more…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Dibakar Das

Space weather poses an important but under-quantified threat to critical infrastructure, the economy, and society. While extreme geomagnetic storms are recognized as potential global catastrophes, their socio-economic impacts remain poorly…

Climate change is expected to aggravate wildfire activity through the exacerbation of fire weather. Improving our capabilities to anticipate wildfires on a global scale is of uttermost importance for mitigating their negative effects. In…

In tropical regions, fires propagate readily in grasslands but typically consume only edges of forest patches. Thus forest patches grow due to tree propagation and shrink by fires in surrounding grasslands. The interplay between these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-15 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Adam F. A. Pellegrini , Uttam Bhat , Sidney Redner , Stephen W. Pacala , Andrew M. Berdahl

As wildfires are expected to become more frequent and severe, improved prediction models are vital to mitigating risk and allocating resources. With remote sensing data, valuable spatiotemporal statistical models can be created and used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Alissa Chavalithumrong , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Macroeconomic theories of growth and wealth distribution have an outsized influence on national and international social and economic policies. Yet, due to a relative lack of reliable, system wide data, many such theories remain, at best,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Eamon Duede , Victor Zhorin

Natural hazard risk management is a demanding interdisciplinary task. It requires domain knowledge, integration of robust computational methods, and effective use of complex datasets. However, existing solutions tend to focus on specific…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Cristobal Pais , Minho Kim , John Radke , Marta C. Gonzalez

Wildfires significantly impact natural ecosystems and human health, leading to biodiversity loss, increased hydrogeological risks, and elevated emissions of toxic substances. Climate change exacerbates these effects, particularly in regions…

This paper focuses on the statistical properties of wild-land fires and, in particular, investigates if spread dynamics relates to simple invasion model. The fractal dimension and lacunarity of three fire scars classified from satellite…

Understanding how weather and climate influence fire risk is important for many purposes, including climate adaptation planning and decision-making in sectors such as emergency management, finance, health and infrastructure (e.g., for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Soubhik Biswas , Andrew Dowdy , Savin Chand

Community risk perceptions can influence their abilities to cope with coastal hazards such as hurricanes and coastal flooding.Our study presents an initial effort to examine the relationship between community resilience and risk perception…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-12 Wanyun Shao , Maaz Gardezi , Siyuan Xian
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