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Earthquakes are indeed triggered by fault dislocations, but whether this process alone can produce the actual earthquake energy released by the mainshock has long been questioned. Therefore, exploring the true source of energy that causes…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-02-24 Xiaoping Mao , Xueqiang Zhang , Yuci Su , Ke Mao , Pengyu Lu , Fei Zhang

Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a fixed time after the ocurrence of a characteristic event.…

We revisit the work of Kilston and Knopoff (1983) to study the correlation of earthquakes with the main lunisolar tidal components in the limited zone of the Southern California region, with a considerably bigger amount of data. By adopting…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-13 Ibnu Nurul Huda , Jean Souchay

Metric magnitude is a measure of the "size" of point clouds with many desirable geometric properties. It has been adapted to various mathematical contexts and recent work suggests that it can enhance machine learning and optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Rayna Andreeva , James Ward , Primoz Skraba , Jie Gao , Rik Sarkar

The statistics of earthquakes in a heterogeneous fault zone is studied analytically and numerically in the mean field version of a model for a segmented fault system in a three-dimensional elastic solid. The studies focus on the interplay…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Karin Dahmen , Deniz Ertas , Yehuda Ben-Zion

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics,…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Jeremy Wing Ching Wong , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Wenyuan Fan

We consider bond percolation on the square lattice with perfectly correlated random probabilities. According to scaling considerations, mapping to a random walk problem and the results of Monte Carlo simulations the critical behavior of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Róbert Juhász , Ferenc Iglói

A recently proposed method of constructing seismic networks from 'record breaking events' from the earthquake catalog of California (Phy. Rev. E, 77 6,066104, 2008) was successfull in establishing causal features to seismicity and arrive at…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-02 P. G. Revathi , T. R. Krishnamohan

After a large earthquake, the likelihood of successive strong aftershocks needs to be estimated. Exploiting similarities with critical phenomena, we introduce a scaling law for the decay in time following a main shock of the expected number…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski , Attilio Stella

The correlation properties of the magnitudes of a time series (sometimes called volatility) are associated with nonlinear and multifractal properties and have been applied in a great variety of fields. Here, we have obtained analytically…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Pedro A. Bernaola-Galvan , Manuel Gomez-Extremera , A. Ramon Romance , Pedro Carpena

On 1 August 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy. The goal of the CSEP-Italy experiment is to test earthquake…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-13 M. J. Werner , J. D. Zechar , W. Marzocchi , S. Wiemer

The field of study of complex systems considers that the dynamics of complex systems are founded on universal principles that may be used to describe a great variety of scientific and technological approaches of different types of natural,…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-01-30 Stelios M. Potirakis , Pavlos I. Zitis , Konstantinos Eftaxias

Mainshocks are often followed by increased earthquake activity (aftershocks). According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks decays as a power law over time. While aftershocks typically occur in the vicinity of the mainshock,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Yongwen Zhang , Maor Elbaz , Shlomo Havlin , Yosef Ashkenazy

Earthquakes are rupture-like processes that propagate along tectonic faults and cause seismic waves. The propagation speed and final area of the rupture, which determine an earthquake's potential impact, are directly related to the nature…

It is demonstrated using Monte Carlo simulation that in different nucleus$-$nucleus collision samples, the increase of the fluctuation of event factorial moments with decreasing phase space scale, called erraticity, is still dominated by…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 Liu Fuming , Liao Hongbo , Liu Ming , Liu Feng , Liu Lianshou

In the present paper, we analyze the fractal structures in magnitude time series for a set of unprecedented sample extracted from the National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) catalog corresponding to 12 Circum-Pacific subduction zones…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-07-31 D. B. de Freitas , G. S. França , T. M. Scheerer , C. S. Vilar , R. Silva

Avalanche statistics of various threshold activated dynamical systems are known to depend on the magnitude of the drive, or stress, on the system. Such dependencies exist for earthquake size distributions, in sheared granular avalanches,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-07 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Lucas Goehring

Event counts are a powerful diagnostic for earthquake analysis. We report on a bimodal distribution of earthquake event counts in the U.S. since 2013. The new peak is about a magnitude M1 with a distribution very similar to that of induced…

We present a simple model of earthquakes on a pre-existing hierarchical fault network. The system self-organizes on long time scales in a stationary state with a power law Gutenberg-Richter distribution of earthquake sizes. The largest…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Y. Huang , H. Saleur , C. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

Laboratory earthquakes exhibit characteristics of a low dimensional random attractor with a dimension similar to that of natural slow earthquakes. A model of stochastic differential equations based on rate and state-dependent friction…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-07 Adriano Gualandi , Davide Faranda , Chris Marone , Massimo Cocco , Gianmarco Mengaldo