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This paper focuses on the problem of anticipating the local occurrence of future large earthquakes. "Local" is defined as the probability of a large earthquake occurring with a defined circle of arbitrary radius surrounding a point of…

Despite the importance of predicting evacuation mobility dynamics after large scale disasters for effective first response and disaster relief, our general understanding of evacuation behavior remains limited because of the lack of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Takahiro Yabe , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Kota Tsubouchi , Satoshi Ikemoto

Three fundamental laws of the physics of earthquakes, bearing the names of their discoverers Omori, Gutenberg, Richter and Bath, are widely used in original, review, monographic, and encyclopedic literature. In this paper, we have tried to…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-06 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Natural earthquake fault systems are highly non-homogeneous. The inhomogeneities occur be- cause the earth is made of a variety of materials which hold and dissipate stress differently. In this work, we study scaling in earthquake fault…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-17 Rachele Dominguez , Kristy Tiampo , C. A. Serino , W. Klein

A model for fault dynamics consisting of two rough and rigid brownian profiles that slide one over the other is introduced. An earthquake occurs when there is an intersection between the two profiles. The energy release is proportional to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-08-17 V. De Rubeis , R. Hallgass , V. Loreto , G. Paladin , L. Pietronero , P. Tosi

Models for forecasting earthquakes are currently tested prospectively in well-organized testing centers, using data collected after the models and their parameters are completely specified. The extent to which these models agree with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-23 Andrew Bray , Frederic Paik Schoenberg

The transition from quasi-static slip growth to dynamic rupture propagation constitutes one possible scenario to describe earthquake nucleation. If this transition is rather well understood for homogeneous faults, how the friction…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-03-18 Mathias Lebihain , Thibault Roch , Marie Violay , Jean-François Molinari

Due to the saturation of the body ($m_b$) and surface ($M_S$) earthquake magnitudes, the moment magnitude ($M_W$) is a more convenient parameter for representing earthquake energies. We use the HRVD data, including 18,569 earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-15 Zahra Firoozeh , Somayeh Taran , Nasila Asaadi , Hossein safari

Disorder and long-range interactions are two of the key components that make material failure an interesting playfield for the application of statistical mechanics. The cornerstone in this respect has been lattice models of the fracture in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Mikko J. Alava , Phani K. V. V. Nukala , Stefano Zapperi

In this article we implemented simulations of the OFC model for earthquakes for two different topologies: regular and small-world, where in the latter the links are randomly rewired with probability $p$ . In both topologies, we have studied…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-05-05 Douglas S. R. Ferreira , Andrés R. R. Papa , Ronaldo Menezes

The essence of the cumulative effect of a round-the-world seismic echo is that the echo can serve as a trigger for a second tremors in the epicentral zone of the earthquake that gave rise to the echo. According to the classification of…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-30 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Aftershocks of the 2012 Off-Coast of Sumatra Earthquake Sequence exhibit a complex and diffuse spatial distribution. The first-order complexity in aftershock distribution is clear and well beyond the influence of typical earthquake location…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-26 Chengping Chai , Charles J. Ammon , K. Michael Cleveland

Catastrophic events in Nature can be often triggered by small perturbations, with "remote triggering" of earthquakes being an important example. Here we present a mechanism for the giant amplification of small perturbations that is expected…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-07-01 Harish Charan , Oleg Gendelman , Itamar Procaccia , Yarden Sheffer

Fluid movement beneath volcanic regions can influence earthquake activity, but the processes linking seismic and volcanic systems are not fully understood. In early 2025, an unusual seismic sequence occurred close to Santorini, providing…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-01 E. Lippiello , G. Petrillo , C. Godano , E. Papadimitriou , V. Karakostas , V. Anagnostou

We study the structural similarity of earthquake networks constructed from seismic catalogs of different geographical regions. A hierarchical clustering of underlying undirected earthquake networks is shown using Jensen-Shannon divergence…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-05-24 Krishanu Deyasi , Abhijit Chakraborty , Anirban Banerjee

Based on the geodynamics, an earthquake does not take place until the momentum-energy excess a faulting threshold value of rock due to the movement of the fluid layer under the rock layer and the transport and accumulation of the momentum.…

General Physics · Physics 2008-02-05 Yi-Fang Chang

Our understanding of earthquakes is based on the theory of plate tectonics. Earthquake dynamics is the study of the interactions of plates (solid disjoint parts of the lithosphere) which produce seismic activity. Over the last about fifty…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-06-11 Pathikrit Bhattacharya , Bikas K. Chakrabarti , Kamal , Debashis Samanta

We study the spatial distribution of clusters associated to the aftershocks of the megathrust Maule earthquake MW 8.8 of 27 February 2010. We used a recent clustering method which hinges on a nonparametric estimation of the underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Adelchi Azzalini

We propose that the widely observed and universal Gutenberg-Richter relation is a mathematical consequence of the critical branching nature of earthquake process in a brittle fracture environment. These arguments, though preliminary, are…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-13 Yan Y. Kagan

Short-term earthquake clustering is one of the most important features of seismicity. Clusters are identified using various techniques, generally deterministic and based on spatio-temporal windowing. Conversely, the leading rail in…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-30 I. Spassiani , S. Gentili , R. Console , M. Murru , M. Taroni , G. Falcone
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