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The area-characteristic, maximum possible earthquake magnitude $T_M$ is required by the earthquake engineering community, disaster management agencies and the insurance industry. The Gutenberg-Richter law predicts that earthquake magnitudes…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-19 Jan Beirlant , Andrzej Kijko , Tom Reynkens , John H. J. Einmahl

It has been observed that the earthquake events possess short-term memory, i.e. that events occurring in a particular location are dependent on the short history of that location. We conduct an analysis to see whether real-time earthquake…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Zeyu Zheng , Kazuko Yamasaki , Joel Tenenbaum , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

The frictional instability associated with earthquake initiation and earthquake dynamics is believed to be mainly controlled by the dynamics of fragmented rocks within the fault gauge. Principal features of the emerging seismicity (e.g.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-26 Nauman Hafeez Sultan , Kamran Karimi , Jorn Davidsen

During the last twenty years, a number of publications of theoretical-numerical nature have appeared which come to the apparently-reassuring conclusion that seismic motion on the ground in cities is smaller than what this motion would be in…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-01 Armand Wirgin

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

Earthquakes are a major threat to nations worldwide. Earthquake detection is an important scientific challenge, not only for its social impacts, but also since it reflects the actual degree of understanding of the physical processes…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-05 Yosef Ashkenazy , Ittai Kurzon , Eitan Asher

It is shown that, according to the criteria used by M. Omerbashich (arXiv:1104.2036v4 [physics.gen-ph]), during 2010 the Earth was aligned with at least one pair of planets some 98.6% of the time. This firmly supports Omerbashich's claim…

General Physics · Physics 2011-09-07 Damian H. Zanette

We address several questions on the behavior of a numerical model recently introduced to study seismic phenomena, that includes relaxation in the plates as a key ingredient. We make an analysis of the scaling of the largest events with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 L. E. Aragón , E. A. Jagla , A. Rosso

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-07 G. F. Panza , A. Peresan , F. Sansò , M. Crespi , A. Mazzoni , A. Nascetti

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

Spatial distances between subsequent earthquakes in southern California exhibit scale-free statistics, with a critical exponent $\delta \approx 0.6$, as well as finite size scaling. The statistics are independent of the threshold magnitude…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Jörn Davidsen , Maya Paczuski

Large continental earthquakes activate multiple faults in a complex fault system, dynamically inducing co-seismic damage around them. The 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikoura earthquake in the northern South Island of New Zealand has been reported as one…

The idea of the global daily magnitude (GDM, unit designation is Mg) of earthquakes is introduced. The formula is given for calculating Mg from earthquake strength data, characterized by the classic magnitude M on the Richter scale. An…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-09-04 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

There is evidence of triggering of tremor by seismic waves emanating from distant large earthquakes. The frequency contents of triggered and ambient tremor are largely identical, suggesting that tremor does not depend directly on the nature…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-08 Naum I. Gershenzon , Gust Bambakidis

Unfortunately, working scientists sometimes reflexively continue to use "buzz phrases" grounded in once prevalent paradigms that have been subsequently refuted. This can impede both earthquake research and hazard mitigation. Well-worn…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-07-23 Yan. Y. Kagan , David D. Jackson , Robert J. Geller

We present an overview of our ongoing studies of the rich dynamical behavior of the uniform, deterministic Burridge--Knopoff model of an earthquake fault. We discuss the behavior of the model in the context of current questions in…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-22 J. M. Carlson , J. S. Langer , B. E. Shaw

Many time series in natural and social sciences can be seen as resulting from an interplay between exogenous influences and an endogenous organization. We use a simple (ETAS) model of events occurring sequentially, in which future events…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 D. Sornette , S. Utkin

The exact mechanisms leading to an earthquake are not fully understood and the space-time structural features are non-trivial. Previous studies suggest the seismicity of very low intensity earthquakes, known as micro-earthquakes, may…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-12 Arash Andalib , Raheleh Baharloo , Jose C. Principe

Following Hergarten and Neugebauer [2002] who discovered aftershock and foreshock sequences in the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) discrete block-spring earthquake model, we investigate to what degree the simple toppling mechanism of this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Helmstetter , S. Hergarten , D. Sornette

Prediction in complex systems at criticality is believed to be very difficult, if not impossible. Of particular interest is whether earthquakes, whose distribution follows a power law (Gutenberg-Richter) distribution, are in principle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-12 Chon-Kit Pun , Sakib Matin , W. Klein , Harvey Gould