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By analyzing a southern California earthquake catalog, Davidsen and Paczuski [Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 048501 (2005)] claim to have found evidence contradicting the theory of aftershock zone scaling in favor of scale-free statistics. We present…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

Yes. Interval statistics have been used to conclude that major earthquakes are random events in time and cannot be anticipated or predicted. Machine learning is a powerful new technique that enhances our ability to understand the…

A long-lasting belief is that the gravitational stress by the moon would be responsible for earthquakes because of causing a tidal deformation of Earth's crust. Even worse, earthquakes are sometimes said to be correlated with eclipses. We…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-01-22 Emil Khalisi

A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, were developed based on earthquake…

Distant regional cross correlations are analyzed for seismicity in Japan by making use of the theory of random matrices as the null hypothesis. The empirical correlation matrix is shown to strongly deviate from the random matrix of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-01-22 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

As part of an effort to develop a systematic methodology for earthquake forecasting, we use a simple model of seismicity based on interacting events which may trigger a cascade of earthquakes, known as the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

In this work the data of the earthquake catalog of the NOAA, National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC) are processed in terms of global seismic energy release. The determined Global Cumulative Seismic Energy Release (GCSER) graph as a…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-10-03 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

For historical buildings and monuments, i.e. when considering time intervals of about a million year (we do not want to loose cultural heritage), the applicability of standard estimates of seismic hazard is really questionable. A viable…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-11-10 Fabio Romanelli , Franco Vaccari

A likely source of earthquake clustering is static stress transfer between individual events. Previous attempts to quantify the role of static stress for earthquake triggering generally considered only the stress changes caused by large…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Jochen Woessner , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

The correct identification of clusters is crucial for an accurate monitoring of the spread of a disease and also in many other natural, social and physical phenomena which exhibit an epidemic structure. Nevertheless, even when an accurate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-12 Eugenio Lippiello , Polytzois Bountzis

This study proposes a response-based parameter for strong motion duration which is computed for structures and is the total time they are nonlinear during an earthquake. Correlation between structural response and duration for structures,…

In line of the intermediate-term monitoring of seismic activity aimed at prediction of the world largest earthquakes the seismic dynamics of the Earth's lithosphere is analysed as a single whole, which is the ultimate scale of the complex…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Leontina L. Romashkova , Vladimir G. Kossobokov

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

Seismicity and faulting within the Earth crust are characterized by many scaling laws that are usually interpreted as qualifying the existence of underlying physical mechanisms associated with some kind of criticality in the sense of phase…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-31 Shyam Nandan , Sumit Kumar Ram , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

A widespread framework for understanding frictional rupture, such as earthquakes along geological faults, invokes an analogy to ordinary cracks. A distinct feature of ordinary cracks is that their near edge fields are characterized by a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-05-11 Efim A. Brener , Eran Bouchbinder

Earthquake network is known to be complex in the sense that it is scale-free, small-world, hierarchically organized and assortatively mixed. Here, the time evolution of earthquake network is analyzed around main shocks in the context of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We numerically investigate the Olami-Feder-Christensen model for earthquakes in order to characterise its scaling behaviour. We show that ordinary finite size scaling in the model is violated due to global, system wide events. Nevertheless…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski

Earthquake occurrence in nature is thought to result from correlated elastic stresses, leading to clustering in space and time. We show that occurrence of major earthquakes in California correlates with time intervals when fluctuations in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 James R. Holliday , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte , William Klein , Kristy F. Tiampo

We have explored the temporal variability of the seismicity at global scale over the last 124 years, as well as its potential drivers. To achieve this, we constructed and analyzed an averaged global seismicity curve for earthquakes of…

In order to clarify how the statistical properties of earthquakes depend on the constitutive law characterizing the stick-slip dynamics, we make an extensive numerical simulation of the one-dimensional spring-block model with the rate- and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Akio Ohmura , Hikaru Kawamura