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We explore the relationship between possibility measures (supremum preserving normed measures) and p-boxes (pairs of cumulative distribution functions) on totally preordered spaces, extending earlier work in this direction by De Cooman and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Enrique Miranda , Sebastien Destercke

Estimation of the mixing distribution under a general mixture model is a very difficult problem, especially when the mixing distribution is assumed to have a density. Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast, recursive algorithm for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

We introduce a multi-colour multi-urn generalisation of the Bernoulli-Laplace urn model, consisting of $d$ urns, $m$ colours, and $dmn$ balls, with $dn$ balls of each colour and $mn$ balls in each urn. At each step, one ball is drawn…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Ritesh Goenka , Jonathan Hermon , Dominik Schmid

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

Directional data require specialized probability models because of the non-Euclidean and periodic nature of their domain. When a directional variable is observed jointly with linear variables, modeling their dependence adds an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Tong Zou , Hal S. Stern

The study presents a vector-valued extension of the classical Mercer theorem within the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces defined over Kaplansky-Hilbert modules associated with the algebra of essentially bounded measurable…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-24 A. Arziev , K. Kudaybergenov. P. Orinbaev

The analytical foundations of modern probability trace back to a sequence of representation theorems that reshaped functional analysis in the twentieth century. From Fr\'echet identification of linear functionals with vectors in Hilbert…

It is known that in an irreducible small P\'olya urn process, the composition of the urn after suitable normalization converges in distribution to a normal distribution. We show that if the urn also is balanced, this normal convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Svante Janson , Nicolas Pouyanne

A determinantal point process (DPP) is a random process useful for modeling the combinatorial problem of subset selection. In particular, DPPs encourage a random subset Y to contain a diverse set of items selected from a base set Y. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Raja Hafiz Affandi , Alex Kulesza , Emily B. Fox

The randomized play-the-winner (RPW) model is a generalized P\'olya Urn process with broad applications ranging from clinical trials to molecular evolution. We derive an exact expression for the variance of the RPW model by transforming the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Ivan Specht , Michael Mitzenmacher

For the interacting urn model with polynomial reinforcement, it has been conjectured that almost surely one color monopolizes all the urns if the interaction parameter $p>0$. We disprove the conjecture. For the case $p=1$, we give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Shuo Qin

We propose an approach to analyze the asymptotic behavior of P\'olya urns based on the contraction method. For this, a new combinatorial discrete time embedding of the evolution of the urn into random rooted trees is developed. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

We investigate the structure of non-equilibrium steady states (NESS) for a class of exactly solvable models in the setting of a chain with left and right reservoirs. Inspired by recent results on the harmonic model, we focus on models in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Frank Redig , Berend van Tol

We prove a Gaussian process approximation for the sequence of random compositions of a two-color randomly reinforced urn for both the cases with the equal and unequal reinforcement means. By using the Gaussian approximation, the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

In this paper, we propose a Model-Based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) algorithm for Partially Measurable Systems (PMS), i.e., systems where the state can not be directly measured, but must be estimated through proper state observers. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Fabio Amadio , Alberto Dalla Libera , Ruggero Carli , Daniel Nikovski , Diego Romeres

Atar, Chowdhary and Dupuis have recently exhibited a variational formula for exponential integrals of bounded measurable functions in terms of R\'enyi divergences. We develop a variational characterization of the R\'enyi divergences between…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Venkat Anantharam

A strong mode of a probability measure on a normed space $X$ can be defined as a point $u$ such that the mass of the ball centred at $u$ uniformly dominates the mass of all other balls in the small-radius limit. Helin and Burger weakened…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan

We construct the entropic measure $\mathbb{P}^\beta$ on compact manifolds of any dimension. It is defined as the push forward of the Dirichlet process (another random probability measure, well-known to exist on spaces of any dimension)…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-14 Karl-Theodor Sturm

We present a multiple colour generalisation of the model of graph interacting urns studied by Benaim et. al., Random Struct. Alg., 46: 614-634, 2015. We show that for complete graphs and for a broad class of reinforcement functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Benito Pires , Rafael A. Rosales

Discrete random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce are key tools for addressing a variety of estimation and prediction problems in Bayesian inference. Indeed, many popular nonparametric priors, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-03 P. De Blasi , S. Favaro , A. Lijoi , R. H. Mena , I. Pruenster , M. Ruggiero
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