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Kernel embeddings have emerged as a powerful tool for representing probability measures in a variety of statistical inference problems. By mapping probability measures into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), kernel embeddings enable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Dino Sejdinovic

Bayesian models that mix multiple Dirichlet prior parameters, called Multi-Dirichlet priors (MD) in this paper, are gaining popularity. Inferring mixing weights and parameters of mixed prior distributions seems tricky, as sums over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Christoph Carl Kling

We consider a time-dependent version of a P\'olya urn containing black and white balls. At each time $n$ a ball is drawn from the urn at random and replaced in the urn along with $\sigma_n$ additional balls of the same colour. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-16 Nadia Sidorova

We characterize the asymptotic performance of a class of positive operator valued measurements (POVMs) where the only task is to make measurements on independent and identically distributed quantum states on finite-dimensional systems. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-24 Janis Nötzel

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is an increasingly used methodology where several proposal densities are used to approximate integrals, generally involving target probability density functions. The use of several proposals allows for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Rahul Mukerjee , Víctor Elvira

The growing prevalence of unauthorized model usage and misattribution has increased the need for reliable model provenance analysis. However, existing methods largely rely on heuristic fingerprint-matching rules that lack provable error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xiaoqi Qiu , Hao Zeng , Zhiyu Hou , Hongxin Wei

We study probability measures induced by set functions with constraints. Such measures arise in a variety of real-world settings, where prior knowledge, resource limitations, or other pragmatic considerations impose constraints. We consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-10 Chengtao Li , Stefanie Jegelka , Suvrit Sra

We study an urn process containing red and blue balls and two different strategies to reinforce the urn. Namely, a generalized P\'olya-type strategy versus an i.i.d. one. At each step, one of the two reinforcement strategies is chosen by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

The Poisson multinomial distribution (PMD) describes the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent but non-identically distributed random vectors, in which each random vector is of length $m$ with 0/1 valued elements and only one of its…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-13 Zhengzhi Lin , Yueyao Wang , Yili Hong

Permutation tests are a powerful and flexible approach to inference via resampling. As computational methods become more ubiquitous in the statistics curriculum, use of permutation tests has become more tractable. At the heart of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Johanna Hardin , Lauren Quesada , Julie Ye , Nicholas J. Horton

We introduce and investigate a notion of multivalued $\lambda$-dissipative probability vector field (MPVF) in the Wasserstein space $\mathcal{P}_2(\mathsf X)$ of Borel probability measures on a Hilbert space $\mathsf X$. Taking inspiration…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Giulia Cavagnari , Giuseppe Savaré , Giacomo Enrico Sodini

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Ruzmaikina , Michael Aizenman

When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

A natural Bayesian approach for mixture models with an unknown number of components is to take the usual finite mixture model with Dirichlet weights, and put a prior on the number of components---that is, to use a mixture of finite mixtures…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 Jeffrey W. Miller , Matthew T. Harrison

A Hilbert space embedding for probability measures has recently been proposed, wherein any probability measure is represented as a mean element in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Such an embedding has found applications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-03-04 Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Kenji Fukumizu , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification, but accurate posterior sampling with MCMC can be computationally prohibitive for modern applications. Variational inference (VI) offers a scalable alternative and often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Laura Battaglia , Stefano Cortinovis , Chris Holmes , David T. Frazier , Jack Jewson

Predictive state representations (PSRs) are models of controlled non-Markov observation sequences which exhibit the same generative process governing POMDP observations without relying on an underlying latent state. In that respect, a PSR…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Andrea Baisero , Christopher Amato

We study a generalized P\'{o}lya urn model with two types of ball. If the drawn ball is red, it is replaced together with a black ball, but if the drawn ball is black it is replaced and a red ball is thrown out of the urn. When only black…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-17 Edward Crane , Nicholas Georgiou , Stanislav Volkov , Andrew R. Wade , Robert J. Waters

The stochastic models investigated in this paper describe the evolution of a set of $F_N$ identical balls scattered into $N$ urns connected by an underlying symmetrical graph with constant degree $h_N$. After some random amount of time {\em…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Wen Sun , Philippe Robert
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