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We consider the generalization of the P\'olya urn scheme with possibly infinite many colors as introduced in \cite{Th-Thesis, BaTH2014, BaTh2016, BaTh2017}. For countable many colors, we prove almost sure convergence of the urn…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Svante Janson , Debleena Thacker

Consider a P\'olya urn with balls of several colours, where balls are drawn sequentially and each drawn ball immediately is replaced together with a fixed number of balls of the same colour. It is well-known that the proportions of balls of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Svante Janson

Variable selection is a problem of statistics that aims to find the subset of the $N$-dimensional possible explanatory variables that are truly related to the generation process of the response variable. In high-dimensional setups, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Takashi Takahashi

The theory of influences in product measures has profound applications in theoretical computer science, combinatorics, and discrete probability. This deep theory is intimately connected to functional inequalities and to the Fourier analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Frederic Koehler , Noam Lifshitz , Dor Minzer , Elchanan Mossel

This paper combines vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space (vRKHS) embedding with robust adaptive observation, yielding an algorithm that is both non-parametric and robust. The main contribution of this paper lies in the ability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Shengyuan Niu , Haoran Wang , Heejip Moon , Andrea L'Afflitto , Andrew Kurdila , Daniel Stilwell

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

Training language models to produce both correct answers and sound reasoning remains an open challenge. Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards typically optimizes only final outcomes, which can lead to a failure mode where task…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Kyuyoung Kim , Kevin Wang , Yunfei Xie , Peiyang Xu , Peiyao Sheng , Chen Wei , Zhangyang Wang , Jinwoo Shin , Pramod Viswanath , Sewoong Oh

Motivated by mathematical tissue growth modelling, we consider the problem of approximating the dynamics of multicolor P\'olya urn processes that start with large numbers of balls of different colors and run for a long time. Using strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Konstantin Borovkov

Path-dependent stochastic processes are often non-ergodic and observables can no longer be computed within the ensemble picture. The resulting mathematical difficulties pose severe limits to the analytical understanding of path-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-26 Rudolf Hanel , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Stefan Thurner

We consider an urn model with multiple drawing and random time-dependent addition matrix. The model is very general with respect to previous literature: the number of sampled balls at each time-step is random, the addition matrix has…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Germana Minelli

Consider a finite undirected graph and place an urn with balls of two colours at each vertex. At every discrete time step, for each urn, a fixed number of balls are drawn from that same urn with probability $p$, and from a randomly chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Yogesh Dahiya , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

We propose a way of finding a Stein type characterization of a given absolutely continuous distribution $\mu$ on $\R$ which is motivated by a regression property satisfied by an exchangeable pair $(W,W')$ where $\calL(W)$ is supposed or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Christian Döbler

In this work, recent results on the moments of balanced P\'olya urns are generalized to unbalanced urns, with the condition that the expected change in total activity at each step is constant. We also provide applications of our results to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Colin Desmarais

The maximum product of spacings (MPS) is employed in the estimation of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEV) and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). Efficient estimators are obtained by the MPS for all $\gamma$. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. S. T. Wong , W. K. Li

Interacting urns with exponential reinforcement were introduced and studied in Launay (2011). As its parameter $\rho$ tends to $\iy$, this reinforcement mechanism converges to the "generalized" reinforcement, in which the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Mickaël Launay , Vlada Limic

Urn models for innovation capture fundamental empirical laws shared by several real-world processes. The so-called urn model with triggering includes, as particular cases, the urn representation of the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Giulio Tani Raffaelli , Margherita Lalli , Francesca Tria

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

Probabilistic models based on continuous latent spaces, such as variational autoencoders, can be understood as uncountable mixture models where components depend continuously on the latent code. They have proven to be expressive tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Gennaro Gala , Erik Quaeghebeur , Cassio de Campos , Robert Peharz

We propose a new, nonparametric approach to learning and representing transition dynamics in Markov decision processes (MDPs), which can be combined easily with dynamic programming methods for policy optimisation and value estimation. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Steffen Grunewalder , Guy Lever , Luca Baldassarre , Massi Pontil , Arthur Gretton