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Strong Convergence of Infinite Color Balanced Urns Under Uniform Ergodicity

Probability 2021-06-08 v1

Abstract

We consider the generalization of the P\'olya urn scheme with possibly infinite many colors as introduced in \cite{Th-Thesis, BaTH2014, BaTh2016, BaTh2017}. For countable many colors, we prove almost sure convergence of the urn configuration under \emph{uniform ergodicity} assumption on the associated Markov chain. The proof uses a stochastic coupling of the sequence of chosen colors with a \emph{branching Markov chain} on a weighted \emph{random recursive tree} as described in \cite{BaTh2017, Sv_2018}. Using this coupling we estimate the covariance between any two selected colors. In particular, we reprove the limit theorem for the classical urn models with finitely many colors.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.1904.06144,
  title  = {Strong Convergence of Infinite Color Balanced Urns Under Uniform Ergodicity},
  author = {Antar Bandyopadhyay and Svante Janson and Debleena Thacker},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1904.06144},
  year   = {2021}
}

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13 pages