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An approach to the modelling of volatile time series using a class of uniformity-preserving transforms for uniform random variables is proposed. V-transforms describe the relationship between quantiles of the stationary distribution of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Alexander J. McNeil

An urn containing specified numbers of balls of distinct ordered colors is considered. A multiple q-Polya urn model is introduced by assuming that the probability of q-drawing a ball of a specific color from the urn varies geometrically,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Charalambos A. Charalambides

Numerous industrial thermal processes and fluid processes can be described by distributed parameter systems (DPSs), wherein many process parameters and variables vary in space and time. Early internal abnormalities in the DPS may develop…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-04 Peng Wei , Han-Xiong Li

In order to use persistence diagrams as a true statistical tool, it would be very useful to have a good notion of mean and variance for a set of diagrams. In 2011, Mileyko and his collaborators made the first study of the properties of the…

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are probabilistic models for repulsion. When used to represent the occurrence of random subsets of a finite base set, DPPs allow to model global negative associations in a mathematically elegant and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Kayvan Sadeghi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Real-world complex systems often comprise many distinct types of elements as well as many more types of networked interactions between elements. When the relative abundances of types can be measured well, we often observe heavy-tailed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 P. S. Dodds , J. R. Minot , M. V. Arnold , T. Alshaabi , J. L. Adams , A. J. Reagan , C. M. Danforth

Suppose we observe an infinite series of coin flips $X_1,X_2,\ldots$, and wish to sequentially test the null that these binary random variables are exchangeable. Nonnegative supermartingales (NSMs) are a workhorse of sequential inference,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are probability models over subsets of a ground set that favor diverse selections while suppressing redundancy. That is, they tend to assign higher likelihood to collections whose elements complement one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

We consider inference for high-dimensional separately and jointly exchangeable arrays where the dimensions may be much larger than the sample sizes. For both exchangeable arrays, we first derive high-dimensional central limit theorems over…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-13 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

We complete the study of the model introduced in [11]. It is a two-color urn model with multiple drawing and random (non-balanced) time-dependent reinforcement matrix. The number of sampled balls at each time-step is random. We identify the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-05 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

We study the optimal control of mean-field systems with heterogeneous and asymmetric interactions. This leads to considering a family of controlled Brownian diffusion processes with dynamics depending on the whole collection of marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Anna De Crescenzo , Marco Fuhrman , Idris Kharroubi , Huyên Pham

The task of mixture proportion estimation (MPE) is to estimate the weight of a component distribution in a mixture, given observations from both the component and mixture. Previous work on MPE adopts the irreducibility assumption, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-01 Yilun Zhu , Aaron Fjeldsted , Darren Holland , George Landon , Azaree Lintereur , Clayton Scott

The Multiplicative Error Model (Engle (2002)) for nonnegative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with nonnegative support. A multivariate extension allows…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Fabrizio Cipollini , Robert F. Engle , Giampiero M. Gallo

Exchangeable arrays are natural tools to model common forms of dependence between units of a sample. Jointly exchangeable arrays are well suited to dyadic data, where observed random variables are indexed by two units from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

We consider an urn model, whose replacement matrix has all entries nonnegative and is balanced, that is, has constant row sums. We obtain the rates of the counts of balls corresponding to each color for the strong laws to hold. The analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

This paper starts with a brief review of the topic of strong and weak pre- and post-selected (PPS) quantum measurements, as well as weak values, and afterwards presents original work. In particular, we develop a nonperturbative theory of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-16 Abraham G. Kofman , Sahel Ashhab , Franco Nori

We consider the problem of approximating a function from $L^2$ by an element of a given $m$-dimensional space $V_m$, associated with some feature map $\boldsymbol{\varphi}$, using evaluations of the function at random points $x_1,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Anthony Nouy , Bertrand Michel

We consider triangular P\'olya urns and show under very weak conditions a general strong limit theorem of the form $X_{ni}/a_{ni}\to \mathcal{X}_i$ a.s., where $X_{ni}$ is the number of balls of colour $i$ after $n$ draws; the constants…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Svante Janson

For continuous maps on a compact manifold M, particularly for those that do not preserve the Lebesgue measure m, we define the observable invariant probability measures as a generalization of the physical measures. We prove that any…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-03-01 E. Catsigeras , H. Enrich

We introduce the P\'olya threshold graph model and derive its stochastic and algebraic properties. This random threshold graph is generated sequentially via a two-color P\'olya urn process. Starting from an empty graph, each time step…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Jinghan Yu , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard