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Related papers: Weak error estimates for rough volatility models

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In Latouche and Nguyen (2015), the authors constructed a sequence of stochastic fluid processes and showed that it converges weakly to a Markov-modulated Brownian motion (MMBM). Here, we construct a different sequence of stochastic fluid…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-30 Giang T. Nguyen , Oscar Peralta

This research explores the reliability of deep learning, specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, for estimating the Hurst parameter in fractional stochastic processes. The study focuses on three types of processes: fractional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Dániel Boros , Bálint Csanády , Iván Ivkovic , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács , László Márkus

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

For a semi-martingale $X_t$, which forms a stochastic boundary, a rate-optimal estimator for its quadratic variation $\langle X, X \rangle_t$ is constructed based on observations in the vicinity of $X_t$. The problem is embedded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Markus Reiß

The description of complex systems requires a progressively larger number of parameters. However, in practice, it often happens that a small subset of parameters suffices to describe the dynamics of the system itself: these combinations are…

We introduce the Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates, where both volatility and interest rates are driven by correlated Gaussian Volterra processes. This framework unifies various well-known Markovian and non-Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Donatien Hainaut , Edouard Motte

Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. the long-range/memory noise parameter for probability distributions of functionals of solutions to stochastic differential equations is an important stochastic modeling issue in many applications. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

We introduce a canonical way of performing the joint lift of a Brownian motion $W$ and a low-regularity adapted stochastic rough path $\mathbf{X}$, extending [Diehl, Oberhauser and Riedel (2015). A L\'evy area between Brownian motion and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Ofelia Bonesini , Emilio Ferrucci , Ioannis Gasteratos , Antoine Jacquier

We prove a large deviation principle for the slow-fast rough differential equations under the controlled rough path framework. The driver rough paths are lifted from the mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu

The rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model can accurately describe the historical and implied volatilities, and has gained much attention in the past few years. However, there are many hidden unknown parameters or even functions in the model. In…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Changqing Teng , Guanglian Li

We establish the weak convergence of the intensity of a nearly-unstable Hawkes process with heavy-tailed kernel. Our result is used to derive a scaling limit for a financial market model where orders to buy or sell an asset arrive according…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu , Rouyi Zhang

Weak values are average quantities,therefore investigating their associated variance is crucial in understanding their place in quantum mechanics. We develop the concept of a position-postselected weak variance of momentum as cohesively as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-08-10 M. R. Feyereisen

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

We provide a short-time large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is expressed as a function of a Volterra process. This LDP does not require strict self-similarity assumptions on the Volterra…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Giacomo Giorgio , Barbara Pacchiarotti , Paolo Pigato

Measuring and managing risk has become crucial in modern decision making under stochastic uncertainty. In two-stage stochastic programming, mean risk models are essentially defined by a parametric recourse problem and a quantification of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Matthias Claus , Volker Krätschmer , Rüdiger Schultz

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

We investigate the asymptotic behavior as time goes to infinity of Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm close to one and power law tail of the form $x^{-(1+\alpha)}$, with $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We in particular prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This work focuses on moderate deviations for two-time scale systems with mixed fractional Brownian motion. Our proof uses the weak convergence method which is based on the variational representation formula for mixed fractional Brownian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yuzuru Inahama , Yong Xu

The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu

This work is concerned with the large deviation principle for a family of slow-fast systems perturbed by infinite-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac12,1)$. We adopt the weak convergence method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Wenting Xu , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang , Bin Pei