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Related papers: Weak error estimates for rough volatility models

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We show that typical behaviors of market participants at the high frequency scale generate leverage effect and rough volatility. To do so, we build a simple microscopic model for the price of an asset based on Hawkes processes. We encode in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 El Euch Omar , Fukasawa Masaaki , Rosenbaum Mathieu

In this article, we present the least squares estimator for the drift parameter in a linear regression model driven by the increment of a fractional Brownian motion sampled at random times. For two different random times, Jittered and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Lisandro Fermín , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

We study an extension of the Heston stochastic volatility model that incorporates rough volatility and jump clustering phenomena. In our model, named the rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model, the spot variance is a rough…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-25 Alessandro Bondi , Sergio Pulido , Simone Scotti

Several asymptotic results for the implied volatility generated by a rough volatility model have been obtained in recent years (notably in the small-maturity regime), providing a better understanding of the shapes of the volatility surface…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-16 Florian Bourgey , Stefano De Marco , Peter K. Friz , Paolo Pigato

In this paper, we develop a general rough volatility model for commodities that provides an automatic calibration of the initial term structure of the futures prices and an appropriate treatment of the Samuelson effect. After the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Roberto Daluiso , Héctor Folgar-Cameán , Andrea Pallavicini , Carlos Vázquez

For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-11 Mathieu Sinn , Karsten Keller

One the one hand, rough volatility has been shown to provide a consistent framework to capture the properties of stock price dynamics both under the historical measure and for pricing purposes. On the other hand, market price of volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

We introduce a variational theory for processes adapted to the multi-dimensional Brownian motion filtration. The theory provides a differential structure which describes the infinitesimal evolution of Wiener functionals at very small…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Alberto Ohashi , Dorival Leão , Alexandre B. Simas

This paper advances interest rate modeling in the post-LIBOR era by introducing rough stochastic volatility into the Forward Market Model (FMM). We establish a rigorous asymptotic expansion of swaption implied volatility, connecting the FMM…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Reo Adachi , Masaaki Fukasawa , Naoki Iida , Mitsumasa Ikeda , Yo Nakatsu , Ryota Tsurumi , Tomohisa Yamakami

This paper investigates the continuous-time limit of score-driven models with long memory. By extending score-driven models to incorporate infinite-lag structures with coefficients exhibiting heavy-tailed decay, we establish their weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Yinhao Wu , Ping He

We introduce the notion of weak decreasing stochastic (WDS) ordering for real-valued processes with negative means, which, to our knowledge, has not been studied before. Thanks to Madan-Yor's argument, it follows that the WDS ordering is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Antoine-Marie Bogso , Patrice Takam Soh

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

This paper shows the relationship between the forward start volatility swap price and the forward start zero vanna implied volatility of forward start options in rough volatility models. It is shown that in the short time-to-maturity limit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-22 Elisa Alòs , Frido Rolloos , Kenichiro Shiraya

Hawkes processes were first introduced to obtain microscopic models for the rough volatility observed in asset prices. Scaling limits of such processes leads to the rough-Heston model that describes the macroscopic behavior. Blanc et al.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-25 Priyanka Chudasama , Srikanth Krishnan Iyer

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We simultaneously estimate the four parameters of a subcritical Heston process. We do not restrict ourself to the case where the stochastic volatility process never reaches zero. In order to avoid the use of unmanageable stopping times and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

In this work we present a general representation formula for the price of a vulnerable European option, and the related CVA in stochastic (either rough or not) volatility models for the underlying's price, when admitting correlation with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Elisa Alòs , Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient in complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Brownian motion, extending the results of Chen, Hu, Wang…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Fares Alazemi , Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

The quadratic rough Heston model provides a natural way to encode Zumbach effect in the rough volatility paradigm. We apply multi-factor approximation and use deep learning methods to build an efficient calibration procedure for this model.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-31 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

This paper provides convergence analysis for the approximation of a class of path-dependent functionals underlying a continuous stochastic process. In the first part, given a sequence of weak convergent processes, we provide a sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Qingshuo Song , George Yin , Qing Zhang