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Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Xuancheng Shao , Yufei Zhao

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

In this paper we show under weak assumptions that for $R\stackrel{d}{=}1+M_1+M_1M_2+\ldots$, where $P(M\in[0,1])=1$ and $M_i$ are independent copies of $M$, we have $\ln P(R>x)\sim C\, x\ln P(M>1-\frac1x)$ as $x\to\infty$. The constant $C$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Bartosz Kolodziejek

Let $K$ be a number field, let $S$ be a finite set of places of $K$, and let $R_S$ be the ring of $S$-integers of $K$. A $K$-morphism $f:\mathbb{P}^1_K\to\mathbb{P}^1_K$ has simple good reduction outside $S$ if it extends to an…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Joseph H. Silverman

We attempt to bring some modest unity to three subareas of heavy tail analysis and extreme value theory: limit laws for componentwise maxima of iid random variables;hidden regular variation and asymptotic independence;conditioned limit laws…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Sidney I. Resnick

For a bivariate random vector (X,Y), symmetry conditions are presented that yield stochastic orderings among |X|, |Y|, |max(X,Y)|, and | min(X, Y)|. Partial extensions of these results for multivariate random vectors (X1,...,Xn) are also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Yindeng Jiang , Michael D. Perlman

Let $X$ be a standard Gaussian random variable. For any $p \in (1, \infty)$, we prove the existence of a universal constant $C_{p}>0$ such that the inequality $$(\mathbb{E} |h'(X)|^{p})^{1/p} \geq C_{p} \sqrt{d} (\mathbb{E}…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Alexandros Eskenazis , Paata Ivanisvili

In general, obtaining the exact steady-state distribution of queue lengths is not feasible. Therefore, we establish bounds for the tail probabilities of queue lengths. Specifically, we examine queueing systems under Heavy-Traffic (HT)…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Prakirt Raj Jhunjhunwala , Daniela Hurtado-Lange , Siva Theja Maguluri

We present a universal concentration bound for sums of random variables under arbitrary dependence, and we prove that it is asymptotically optimal for broad families of marginals admitting a uniform integrable tail-quantile envelope. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cosme Louart , Sicheng Tan

Let $n,k$ be positive integers such that $n\geq k$, and let $H$ be a hypergeometric random variable counting the number of black marbles in a sample without replacement of size $k$ from an urn that contains $i\in \{1,\ldots, n\}$ black and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Jianhang Ai , Christos Pelekis

We establish sharp large deviation asymptotics for the maximum order statistic of independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables, valid for all Borel subsets of the right tail. This result yields exact decay rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 José M. Zapata

We prove that there exists an absolute constant $\alpha >1$ with the following property: if $K$ is a convex body in ${\mathbb R}^n$ whose center of mass is at the origin, then a random subset $X\subset K$ of cardinality ${\rm…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Silouanos Brazitikos , Giorgos Chasapis , Labrini Hioni

We prove an inequality relating the isoperimetric profile of a graph to the decay of the random walk total variation distance $\sup_{x\sim y} ||P^n(x,\cdot)-P^n(y,\cdot)||_{\mathrm{TV}}$. This inequality implies a quantitative version of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Tom Hutchcroft , Isaac M. Lopez

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Michael I. Tribelsky

We present a streamlined proof of the foundational result in the theory of exponential random graph models (ERGMs) that the maximum likelihood estimate exists if and only if the target statistic lies in the relative interior of the convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Henry Bayly , Aditya Khanna , Kathryn Lindsey

It is well known that the entropy $H(X)$ of a finite random variable is always greater or equal to the entropy $H(f(X))$ of a function $f$ of $X$, with equality if and only if $f$ is one-to-one. In this paper, we give tights bounds on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Ferdinando Cicalese , Luisa Gargano , Ugo Vaccaro

This paper concerns parameterized convex infinite (or semi-infinite) inequality systems whose decision variables run over general infinite-dimensional Banach (resp. finite-dimensional) spaces and that are indexed by an arbitrary fixed set T…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-02-07 M. J. CÁnovas , M. A. LÓpez , B. S. Mordukhovich , J. Parra

The local Rademacher complexity framework is one of the most successful general-purpose toolboxes for establishing sharp excess risk bounds for statistical estimators based on the framework of empirical risk minimization. Applying this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Varun Kanade , Patrick Rebeschini , Tomas Vaskevicius

We consider the tail behavior of random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\stackrel{d}{=}Q+MR$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $|M|\le 1$. Goldie and Gr\"{u}bel showed that the tails of $R$ are no…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

For two graphs $X$ and $Y$ with vertex sets $V(X)$ and $V(Y)$ of the same cardinality $n,$ the friends-and-strangers graph $\mathsf{FS}(X,Y)$ was recently defined by Defant and Kravitz. The vertices of $\mathsf{FS}(X,Y)$ are the bijections…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Kiril Bangachev