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The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

We establish the following universality property in high dimensions: Let $X$ be a random vector with density in $\mathbb{R}^n$. The density function can be arbitrary. We show that there exists a fixed unit vector $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^n$…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Bo'az Klartag

The upper tail problem for the largest eigenvalue of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ is to estimate the probability that the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ exceeds its typical value…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly

Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Maël Chiapino , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

For a fixed positive integer $\;k,\;$ limit laws of linearly normalized $\;k$-th upper order statistics are well known. In this article, a comprehensive study of tail behaviours of limit laws of normalized $k$-th upper order statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Sreenivasan Ravi , Mandagere Chandrashekhar Manohar

The relationship between a response variable and its covariates can vary significantly, especially in scenarios where covariates take on extremely high or low values. This paper introduces a max-linear tail regression model specifically…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

Let $\varphi$ be a quasi-psh function on a complex manifold $X$ and let $S\subset X$ be a complex submanifold. Then the multiplier ideal sheaves $\mathcal{I}(\varphi|_S)\subset\mathcal{I}(\varphi)|_{S}$ and the complex singularity exponents…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Xiankui Meng , Xiangyu Zhou

We analyze the tail behavior of solutions to sample average approximations (SAAs) of stochastic programs posed in Hilbert spaces. We require that the integrand be strongly convex with the same convexity parameter for each realization.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Johannes Milz

Consider $n$ real/complex, independent/dependent random variables with respective tail bounds and $g$ a measurable function of the r.v.'s. Consider $f$ the "sharpest" tail bound of $g$ (sharpest in the sense that if $f$ were any less, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Stephen Jordan Harrison

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

Let $X,Y$ be topological vector spaces or metric spaces, and let {$f:X\times Y \to \Re $} be a real function lower semicontinuous in the first variable and upper semicontinuous in the second one. It is proved that $f$ is globally…

General Topology · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antonio J. B. Lopes-Pinto , Diana Aldea Mendes

In this article we develop a duality principle suitable for a large class of problems in optimization. The main result is obtained through basic tools of convex analysis and duality theory. We establish a correct relation between the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Fabio Botelho

Let $X, Y$ be two independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables taking values from a separable Banach space $(\mathcal{X}, \|\cdot\|)$. Given two measurable subsets $F, K\subseteq\cal{X}$, we established distribution free…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Zhao Dong , Jiange Li , Wenbo V. Li

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

It is shown that, for any given $p\ge5$, $A>0$ and $B>0$, the exact upper bound on $\mathsf{E}|\sum X_i|^p$ over all independent zero-mean random variables (r.v.'s) $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ such that $\sum\mathsf{E}X_i^2=B$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Iosif Pinelis

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao
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