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We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two independent random variables with corresponding distributions $F$ and $G$ supported on $[0,\infty)$. The distribution of the product $XY$, which is called the product convolution of $F$ and $G$, is denoted by $H$. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Zhaolei Cui , Guancheng Jiang , Yuebao Wang

We explore the asymptotic convergence and nonasymptotic maximal inequalities of supermartingales and backward submartingales in the space of positive semidefinite matrices. These are natural matrix analogs of scalar nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

We consider dynamical systems $T: X \to X$ that are extensions of a factor $S: Y \to Y$ through a projection $\pi: X \to Y$ with shrinking fibers, i.e. such that $T$ is uniformly continuous along fibers $\pi^{-1}(y)$ and the diameter of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Benoit Kloeckner

Let $X\subset\mathbb{R}^n$ be a convex closed and semialgebraic set and let $f$ be a polynomial positive on $X$. We prove that there exists an exponent $N\geq 1$, such that for any $\xi\in\mathbb{R}^n$ the function…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Krzysztof Kurdyka , Katarzyna Kuta , Stanisław Spodzieja

We consider real-valued random variables R satisfying the distributional equation R \eqdist \sum_{k=1}^{N}T_k R_k + Q, where R_1,R_2,... are iid copies of R and independent of T=(Q, (T_k)_{k \ge 1}). N is the number of nonzero weights T_k…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Gerold Alsmeyer , Ewa Damek , Sebastian Mentemeier

Let $\{X_t, t \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise asymptotically independent random variables with regularly varying tails and $\{ \Theta_t, t\geq1 \}$ be a sequence of positive random variables independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Quirin Vogel

We study the problem of maximizing the probability that (i) an electric component or financial institution $X$ does not default before another component or institution $Y$ and (ii) that $X$ and $Y$ default jointly within the class of all…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Thomas Mroz , Juan Fernández Sánchez , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

Maximal inequalities refer to bounds on expected values of the supremum of averages of random variables over a collection. They play a crucial role in the study of non-parametric and high-dimensional estimators, and especially in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Supratik Basu , Arun K Kuchibhotla

For $p\ge 1$ let $\varphi_p(x)=x^2/2$ if $|x|\le 1$ and $\varphi_p(x)=1/p|x|^p-1/p+1/2$ if $|x|>1$. For a random variable $\xi$ let $\tau_{\varphi_p}(\xi)$ denote $\inf\{a\ge 0:\;\forall_{\lambda\in\mathbb{R}}\;…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-22 Krzysztof Zajkowski

We consider random vectors $X$ that satisfy the equation in law $X=AX+B$, where $A$ is a given random diagonal matrix and $B$ a given random vector, both independent of $X$. It is well known by the works of Kesten and Goldie that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Ewa Damek , Sebastian Mentemeier

Let $\mathbf{X}_p=(\mathbf{s}_1,...,\mathbf{s}_n)=(X_{ij})_{p \times n}$ where $X_{ij}$'s are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with $EX_{11}=0,EX_{11}^2=1$ and $EX_{11}^4<\infty$. It is showed that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 B. B. Chen , G. M. Pan

It is well known that a random vector with given marginal distributions is comonotonic if and only if it has the largest sum with respect to the convex order [ Kaas, Dhaene, Vyncke, Goovaerts, Denuit (2002), A simple geometric proof that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Chuancun Yin , Dan Zhu

A tight upper bound is given on the distribution of the maximum of a supermartingale. Specifically, it is shown that if $Y$ is a semimartingale with initial value zero and quadratic variation process $[Y,Y]$ such that $Y + [Y,Y]$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Bruce Hajek

We derive exponential tail inequalities for sums of random matrices with no dependence on the explicit matrix dimensions. These are similar to the matrix versions of the Chernoff bound and Bernstein inequality except with the explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

Let $\{X_i,i\geq1\}$ be a sequence of negatively associated random variables, and let $\{X_i^\ast,i\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables such that $X_i^\ast$ and $X_i$ have the same distribution for each $i$. Denote by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 WenCong Zhang

We consider the following decision problem DMAX#SAT, and generalizations thereof: given a quantifier-free propositional formula $F(\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y})$, where $\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y}$ are tuples of variables, and a bound $B$, determine if…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-02-25 David Monniaux

Let $X$ denote a nonnegative random variable with $\mathsf{E} X<\infty$. Upper and lower bounds on $\mathsf{E} X-\exp\mathsf{E}\ln X$ are obtained, which are exact, in terms of $V_X$ and $E_X$ for the upper bound and in terms of $V_X$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Iosif Pinelis