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Improving the detection of relevant variables using a new bivariate measure could importantly impact variable selection and large network inference methods. In this paper, we propose a new statistical coefficient that we call the rank…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-10 Patrick E. Meyer

We consider Gomory and Johnson's infinite group model with a single row. Valid inequalities for this model are expressed by valid functions and it has been recently shown that any valid function is dominated by some nonnegative valid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Amitabh Basu , Michele Conforti , Marco Di Summa

An old conjecture of Kahn and Saks says, roughly, that any poset $P$ of large enough width contains elements $x,y$ which are "balanced" in the sense that the probability that $x$ precedes $y$ in a uniformly random linear extension of $P$ is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Max Aires , Jeff Kahn

Consider Bernoulli(1/2) percolation on $\Z^d$, and define a perfect matching between open and closed vertices in a way that is a deterministic equivariant function of the configuration. We want to find such matching rules that make the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Adam Timar

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Let $X,Y$ be algebraic varieties defined over $\Bbb R$. Assume $Y$ is smooth and $X$ is Gorenstein. Suppose $\varphi:X\to Y$ is a flat $\Bbb R$-morphism such that all the fibers have rational singularities. We show that the pushforward of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Andrew Reiser

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

Let S_n=X_1+...+X_n be a sum of independent symmetric random variables such that |X_{i}|\leq 1. Denote by W_n=\epsilon_{1}+...+\epsilon_{n} a sum of independent random variables such that \prob{\eps_i = \pm 1} = 1/2. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Dainius Dzindzalieta , Matas Šileikis , Tomas Juškevičius

We say that a random integer variable $X$ is monotone if the modulus of the characteristic function of $X$ is decreasing on $[0,\pi]$. This is the case for many commonly encountered variables, e.g., Bernoulli, Poisson and geometric random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Anders Aamand , Noga Alon , Jakob Bæk Tejs Knudsen , Mikkel Thorup

We extend Polyak's theorem on the convexity of joint numerical range from three to any number of quadratic forms on condition that they can be generated by three quadratic forms with a positive definite linear combination. Our new result…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Mengmeng Song , Yong Xia

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

In risk theory, financial asset returns often follow heavy-tailed distributions. Investors and risk managers used to compare risk measures as the value at risk or tail value at risk in order over the whole confidence levels to avoid the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Alfonso J. Bello , Julio Mulero , Miguel A. Sordo , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

Let $X$ be a random variable with distribution function $F,$ and $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ are independent copies of $X.$ Consider the order statistics $X_{i:n},$ $i=1,2,...,n$ and denote $F_{i:n}(x)=P\{X_{i:n}\leq x\}.$ Using majorization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Ismihan Bairamov

This paper presents a novel semiparametric method to study the effects of extreme events on binary outcomes and subsequently forecast future outcomes. Our approach, based on Bayes' theorem and regularly varying (RV) functions, facilitates a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Laura Liu , Yulong Wang

Let S_n:=a_1\vp_1+...+a_n\vp_n, where \vp_1,...,\vp_n are independent Rademacher random variables (r.v.'s) and a_1,...,a_n are any real numbers such that a_1^2+...+a_n^2=1. Let Z be a standard normal r.v. It is proved that the best constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-14 Iosif Pinelis

If a probability density p(\x) (\x\in\R^k) is bounded and R(t) := \int \exp(t\ell(\x)) \d\x < \infty for some linear functional \ell and all t\in(0,1), then, for each t\in(0,1) and all large enough n, the n-fold convolution of the t-tilted…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of nonnegative random variables where $\max[\min(X_{n} - s,t),0]$, $t > s \geqslant 0$, satisfy a moment inequality, sufficient conditions are given under which $\sum_{k=1}^n (X_k - \mathbb{E}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 João Lita da Silva