English

Tails of probability density for sums of random independent variables

Probability 2013-05-29 v2 Statistical Mechanics Mathematical Physics math.MP Chaotic Dynamics Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability Fluid Dynamics Plasma Physics

Abstract

The exact expression for the probability density pN(x)p_{_N}(x) for sums of a finite number NN of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of pN(x)p_{_N}(x) has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are distributed according to the Gauss Law. In all other cases the tail for pN(x)p_{_N}(x) differs from the Gaussian. If the variances of random terms diverge the non-Gaussian tail is related to a Levy distribution for pN(x)p_{_N}(x). However, the tail is not Gaussian even if the variances are finite. In the latter case pN(x)p_{_N}(x) has two different asymptotics. At small and moderate values of xx the distribution is Gaussian. At large xx the non-Gaussian tail arises. The crossover between the two asymptotics occurs at xx proportional to NN. For this reason the non-Gaussian tail exists at finite NN only. In the limit NN tends to infinity the origin of the tail is shifted to infinity, i. e., the tail vanishes. Depending on the particular type of the distribution of the random terms the non-Gaussian tail may decay either slower than the Gaussian, or faster than it. A number of particular examples is discussed in detail.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.math/0106037,
  title  = {Tails of probability density for sums of random independent variables},
  author = {Michael I. Tribelsky},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:math/0106037},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

6 pages, 4 figures