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We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIR epidemiology model that includes a partially specified vaccination policy and takes into account fatigue from protracted application of social distancing measures. The model assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Evangelos F. Magirou

Behavioral health interventions, delivered through digital platforms, have the potential to significantly improve health outcomes, through education, motivation, reminders, and outreach. We study the problem of optimizing personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jackie Baek , Justin J. Boutilier , Vivek F. Farias , Jonas Oddur Jonasson , Erez Yoeli

The year 2020 has seen the COVID-19 virus lead to one of the worst global pandemics in history. As a result, governments around the world are faced with the challenge of protecting public health, while keeping the economy running to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Varun Kompella , Roberto Capobianco , Stacy Jong , Jonathan Browne , Spencer Fox , Lauren Meyers , Peter Wurman , Peter Stone

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many organizations (e.g. businesses, companies, government facilities, etc.) have attempted to reduce infection risk by employing partial home office strategies. However, working from home can also reduce…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Mansoor Davoodi , Abhishek Senapati , Adam Mertel , Weronika Schlechte-Welnicz , Justin M. Calabrese

Background: The impact of individual non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as state-wide stay-at-home orders, school closures and gathering size limitations, on the COVID-19 epidemic is unknown. Understanding the impact that above…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-27 Ian E. Fellows , Rachel B. Slayton , Avi J. Hakim

Globally, the outbreaks of infectious diseases have exerted an extremely profound and severe influence on health security and the economy. During the critical phases of epidemics, devising effective intervention measures poses a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Baida Zhang , Yakai Chen , Huichun Li , Zhenghu Zu

The COVID-19 Pandemic has been described as the global challenge of our time, an enormous human tragedy with dramatic economic impacts. This paper describes the response and expected recovery process for Western Australia, where a rapid and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-21 David Cavanagh , Mark Hoey , Andrew Clark , Michael Small , Paul Bailey , Jon Watson

The Covid-19 outbreak of 2020 has required many governments to develop and adopt mathematical-statistical models of the pandemic for policy and planning purposes. To this end, this work provides a tutorial on building a compartmental model…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Elizabeth B Amona , Ryad A Ghanam , Edward L Boone , Indranil Sahoo , Laith J Abu-Raddad

In the context of natural disasters, human responses inevitably intertwine with natural factors. The COVID-19 pandemic, as a significant stress factor, has brought to light profound variations among different countries in terms of their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-26 Innokentiy Kastalskiy , Andrei Zinovyev , Evgeny Mirkes , Victor Kazantsev , Alexander N. Gorban

The Covid-19 pandemic has led to infodemic of low quality information leading to poor health decisions. Combating the outcomes of this infodemic is not only a question of identifying false claims, but also reasoning about the decisions…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Maria Leonor Pacheco , Tunazzina Islam , Monal Mahajan , Andrey Shor , Ming Yin , Lyle Ungar , Dan Goldwasser

We propose a multi-layer network model for the spread of COVID-19 that accounts for interactions within the family, between schoolmates, and casual contacts in the population. We utilize the proposed model-calibrated on epidemiological and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-24 Christian Bongiorno , Lorenzo Zino

We devise a theoretical model for the optimal dynamical control of an infectious disease whose diffusion is described by the SVIR compartmental model. The control is realized through implementing social rules to reduce the disease's spread,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Alessandro Ramponi , Maria Elisabetta Tessitore

The spreading of Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the close link between economics and health in the context of emergency management. A widespread vaccination campaign is considered the main tool to contain the economic consequences. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-09 Emanuele Bernardi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

In this work, we contribute the first visual open-source empirical study on human behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to investigate how compliant a general population is to mask-wearing-related public-health policy.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-23 Yuxi Heluo , Kexin Wang , Charles W. Robson

Beginning in April 2020, we gathered partial county-level data on non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, using both volunteer and paid crowdsourcing. In this report, we…

Background: Due to the societal, economic, and health costs of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), it is important to assess their effects. Human mobility serves as a surrogate for human contacts and compliance to NPIs. In…

Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

Restrictions on social and economic activities, as well as vaccinations, have been a key intervention in containing the COVID-19 epidemic. Our work focuses on better understanding the options available to policymakers under the conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

We consider the control of the COVID-19 pandemic through a standard SIR compartmental model. This control is induced by the aggregation of individuals' decisions to limit their social interactions: when the epidemic is ongoing, an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Romuald Elie , Emma Hubert , Gabriel Turinici

Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero
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