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Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are crucial for controlling pandemics, but existing research often overlooks the heterogeneity of individual behavior, which can lead to inaccurate evaluations of the effectiveness of strategies. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-09 Xihan Zhang , Yuqing Liu , Chen Zhao , Guijun Li

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in response to the COVID-19 pandemic necessitated a trade-off between the health impacts of viral spread and the social and economic costs of restrictions. We conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-20 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as quarantine, self-isolation, social distancing, and virus-contact tracing can greatly reduce the spread of the virus during a pandemic. In the wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-16 Jingjing He , Xuefei Guan , Xiaochang Duan , Tian Shen , Jing Lin

The design of coherent and efficient policies to address infectious diseases and their consequences requires to model not only epidemics dynamics, but also individual behaviors, as the latter has a strong influence on the former. In our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-16 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

In fighting infectious diseases posing a global health threat, ranging from influenza to Zika, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI), such as social distancing and face covering, remain mitigation measures public health can resort to.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-12 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

Facing a global epidemic of new infectious diseases such as COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which reduce transmission rates without medical actions, are being implemented around the world to mitigate spreads. One of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Naoya Fujiwara , Tomokatsu Onaga , Takayuki Wada , Shouhei Takeuchi , Junji Seto , Tomoki Nakaya , Kazuyuki Aihara

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been critical in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. However, these sanitary measures have been partially lifted due to socioeconomic factors causing a worrisome rebound of the epidemic in several…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Hugo Flores-Arguedas , José Ariel Camacho-Gutiérrez , Fernando Saldaña

Infectious diseases and human behavior are intertwined. On one side, our movements and interactions are the engines of transmission. On the other, the unfolding of viruses might induce changes to our daily activities. While intuitive, our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-02 Nicola Perra

To date, the only effective means to respond to the spreading of COVID-19 pandemic are non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which entail policies to reduce social activity and mobility restrictions. Quantifying their effect is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-01 Francesco Parino , Lorenzo Zino , Maurizio Porfiri , Alessandro Rizzo

The pandemic caused by the novel Coronavirus SARS-CoV2 has been responsible for life threatening health complications, and extreme pressure on healthcare systems. While preventive and definite curative medical interventions are yet to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Ankit Sharma , Shreyash Arya , Shashee Kumari , Arnab Chatterjee

To what extent are effectiveness estimates of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) against COVID-19 influenced by the assumptions our models make? To answer this question, we investigate 2 state-of-the-art NPI effectiveness models and…

A model-based signal processing framework is proposed for pandemic trend forecasting and control, by using non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) at regional and country levels worldwide. The control objective is to prescribe quantifiable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Reza Sameni

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), including mask-wearing, physical distancing, and hygiene measures, provide the primary means of reducing transmission in the early stages of an epidemic. Individuals adopt one of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Yuan Liu , Michael Sieber , Bin Wu , Arne Traulsen

In an emerging pandemic, policymakers need to make important decisions with limited information, for example choosing between a mitigation, suppression or elimination strategy. These strategies may require trade-offs to be made between the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 M J Plank , M Sushames , T Fisher-Taylor , A Afshari , R N Thompson , A Hurford , S C Hendy

Governments across the world are currently facing the task of selecting suitable intervention strategies to cope with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is a highly challenging task, since harsh measures may result in economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Andreas Kasis , Stelios Timotheou , Nima Monshizadeh , Marios Polycarpou

Pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been crucial for controlling COVID-19. They are complemented by voluntary health-protective behaviour, building a complex interplay between risk perception, behaviour, and…

Non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs) play an important role in the early stage control of COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination is considered to be the inevitable course to stop the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Based on the mechanism, a SVEIR COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-08 Bin-Guo Wang , Shunxiang Huang , Yongping Xiong , Ming-Zhen Xin , Jing LI , Jiangqian Zhang , Zhihui Ma

The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemic-economic models designed to address this issue are either too aggregate to…

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