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This paper considers the problem of designing non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) strategies, such as masking and social distancing, to slow the spread of a viral epidemic. We formulate the problem of jointly minimizing the infection…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Shiyu Cheng , Luyao Niu , Bhaskar Ramasubramanian , Andrew Clark , Radha Poovendran

Most governments employ a set of quasi-standard measures to fight COVID-19 including wearing masks, social distancing, virus testing, contact tracing, and vaccination. However, combining these measures into an efficient holistic pandemic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Balázs Pejó , Gergely Biczók

COVID-19 pandemic has sharply projected the globally persistent multi-dimensional fundamental challenges in securing general socio-economic wellbeing of the society. The problems intensify with increasing population densities and also vary…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Pradipta Banerjee , Subhrabrata Choudhury

We introduce a multi-population mean field game framework to examine how economic status and authority perception shape vaccination and social distancing decisions under different epidemic control policies. We carried out a survey to inform…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Huaning Liu , Junke Yang , Soren L. Larsen , Pamela P. Martinez , Gokce Dayanikli

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has directly impacted the public health and economy worldwide. To overcome this problem, countries have adopted different policies and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling…

This article considers the minimization of the total number of infected individuals over the course of an epidemic in which the rate of infectious contacts can be reduced by time-dependent nonpharmaceutical interventions. The societal and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Tom Britton , Lasse Leskelä

We study the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on mortality and economic activity across U.S. cities during the 1918 Flu Pandemic. The combination of fast and stringent NPIs reduced peak mortality by 50% and cumulative…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-21 Sergio Correia , Stephan Luck , Emil Verner

Public health interventions are a fundamental tool for mitigating the spread of an infectious disease. However, it is not always possible to obtain a conclusive estimate for the impact of an intervention, especially in situations where the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-12-22 Vasileios Lampos

There is a continuing debate on relative benefits of various mitigation and suppression strategies aimed to control the spread of COVID-19. Here we report the results of agent-based modelling using a fine-grained computational simulation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-12 Sheryl L. Chang , Nathan Harding , Cameron Zachreson , Oliver M. Cliff , Mikhail Prokopenko

Non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), and in particular social distancing, in conjunction with the advent of effective vaccines at the end of 2020, aspired for the development of a protective immunity shield against the spread of…

To contain the propagation of emerging diseases that are transmissible from human to human, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) aimed at reducing the interactions between humans are usually implemented. One example of the latter kind of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-21 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

Several non-pharmaceutical interventions have been proposed to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. On the large scale, these empirical solutions, often associated with extended and complete lockdowns, attempt to minimize the costs…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 M. Serra , S. al-Mosleh , S. Ganga Prasath , V. Raju , S. Mantena , J. Chandra , S. Iams , L. Mahadevan

Since the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have applied restrictions in order to slow down its spreading. However, creating such policies is hard, especially because the government needs to trade-off the spreading of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Leonardo Lucio Custode , Giovanni Iacca

A crucial aspect of managing a public health crisis is to effectively balance prevention and mitigation strategies, while taking their socio-economic impact into account. In particular, determining the influence of different…

Balancing pandemic control and economics is challenging, as the numerical analysis assuming specific economic conditions complicates obtaining predictable general findings. In this study, we analytically demonstrate how adopting timely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-30 Tsuyoshi Hondou

This paper undertakes a near real-time analysis of the income distribution effects of the COVID-19 crisis in Australia to understand the ongoing changes in the income distribution as well as the impact of policy responses. By…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-10 Jinjing Li , Yogi Vidyattama , Hai Anh La , Riyana Miranti , Denisa M Sologon

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

Diverse non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), serving as the primary approach for COVID-19 control prior to pharmaceutical interventions, showed heterogeneous spatiotemporal effects on pandemic management. Investigating the dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Binbin Lin , Yimin Dai , Lei Zou , Ning Ning

We study the impact on the epidemiological dynamics of a class of restrictive measures that are aimed at reducing the number of contacts of individuals who have a higher risk of being infected with a transmittable disease. Such measures are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino